Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/22/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, February 22, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +3, Mavericks -3; Over/Under:  243 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +3, Mavericks -3; Over/Under:  243 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +3, Mavericks -3; Over/Under:  243 points

Phoenix Suns:  33-22 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  32-23 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Phoenix Suns:  7-3 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10

The Suns are entering this game with a 33-22 record overall and they are 15-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings and the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 25 while Saben Lee was next on the team with 16 points. Jusuf Nurkić led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jusuf Nurkić led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 45.5% from the field, 32.3% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.3 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 23-30-2 this season and their O/U record is 27-27-1.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 32-23 record overall and they are 17-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Brooklyn Nets, the New York Knicks, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Washington Wizards, and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 34 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 27 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Daniel Gafford led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53.3% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.2 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 29-26 this season and their O/U record is 27-27-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 32-23 record overall which has them in a play-in spot in the West but also fighting to climb into a true playoff spot. They have looked good on their home court with their 17-13 home record, but lately they have looked a lot better as they are healthy now and starting to get hot. Meanwhile, the Suns have also looked good in their games this season with their 33-22 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now. The Suns have been surging up the standings in the West lately and they have also been a good road team this year with their 15-11 road record. As good as the Suns have looked lately, the Mavericks have been just as hot as both of these teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Suns also went into the All-Star break with 2 wins in a row while the Mavs are on a 6 game win streak and still have a lot more momentum on their side. The edge is with the home team coming out of the All-Star break since they have been the hotter team lately and need to make up some ground in the West. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 22, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 127 Suns 120.

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Phoenix Suns: 15-32 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 5-12 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 7-2 UNDER as a road underdog. 6-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 5-1 UNDER after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than the opponent.

Dallas Mavericks: 12-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 5-1 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 28-16 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 10-5 UNDER off a home win. 26-18 UNDER off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival.

Phoenix Suns:  B. Beal (SG) - Hamstring. D. Lee (SG) - Knee.

Dallas Mavericks:  M. Kleber (PF) - Toe/Nose. D. Exum (PG) - Knee.

“Keep the game first. There’s a lot of noise. It’s unfortunate what happened before the game. It’s supposed to be a brotherhood, but I also understand, dudes get into stuff. We try to avoid that in this league. Hopefully, we can move on from it. We all support Drew.” - Kevin Durant after their win against the Pistons in their game on Wednesday last week.

“Victor didn’t know what to do. Kai knew exactly what he was doing." - Jason Kidd on Wemby and Kyrie Irving after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Wednesday last week.

PG Devin Booker

SG Bradley Beal

SF Grayson Allen

PF Kevin Durant

C Jusuf Nurkic

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Josh Green

PF P.J. Washington 

C Dereck Lively II 

PPG: K. Durant (28.2)

APG: D. Booker (7)

Reb/G: J. Nurkic (10.2)

PPG: L. Doncic (34.2)

APG: L. Doncic (9.5)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.8)

Coaches:

Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)