Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/14/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, March 14, 2024
Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +4.5, Celtics -4.5; Over/Under:  231 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +4.5, Celtics -4.5; Over/Under:  231 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +4.5, Celtics -4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Season Record

Phoenix Suns:  38-27 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Boston Celtics:  51-14 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Phoenix Suns:  5-5 last 10
Boston Celtics:  8-2 last 10


Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Preview and Analysis


The Suns are entering this game with a 38-27 record overall and they are 17-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 37 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 27 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kevin Durant and Jusuf Nurkić each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 54.8% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.3 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 25-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 28-36-1.



The Celtics are entering this game with a 51-14 record overall and they are 29-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Portland Trail Blazers, and the Utah Jazz in their last game. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 38 while Derrick White was next on the team with 24 points. Jrue Holiday led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Luke Kornet led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46.7% from the field, 40.8% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.6 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 33-29-3 this season and their O/U record is 30-35.


Suns vs Celtics Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 51-14 record overall which has them right at the top of the East with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been the best team in the NBA for a good majority of the season and they have also looked great on their home court this year with their 29-3 home record. Meanwhile, the Suns have also looked good in their games this season with their 38-27 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now, but they are also right on the cusp of dropping into the play-in spots since they are holding down the final true playoff spot in the West right now. They have been a good road team this year with their 17-13 road record but they still haven't been an amazing team in their road games. They haven't looked great in their games lately either with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The Celtics have been the much hotter team lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games but they also have a lot more momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. The Celtics also beat the Suns in Phoenix at the start of this winning streak and the Celtics are a much tougher team to take down on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 14, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 121 Suns 110.
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NBA Betting Trends


Phoenix Suns: 12-22 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 3-6 ATS off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 7-13 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 8-2 UNDER as a road underdog. 8-3 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less. 9-4 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Boston Celtics: 5-1 ATS as a home underdog. 5-1 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games. 19-12 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 20-13 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 29-14 UNDER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. 5-2 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Key Injuries


Phoenix Suns:  E. Gordon (SG) Ques Thurs - Knee. N. Little (SF) Late March - Knee. J. Okogie (SG) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Boston Celtics:  J. Brown (SG) Ques Thurs - Pelvis. A. Horford (C) Ques Thurs - Toe. K. Porzingis (PF) Ques Thurs - Hamstring.


Notable Quotes


“We’ve got a chance to be elite with (Durant, Booker and Beal), so we’re grateful to have them all back. That type of game becomes a slugfest, but you could see the work Devin put in while he was out. He had a great performance.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in their game on Monday.


“The law of averages, you play so many games you won’t be perfect every night. You have to stick with it and trust that you’re going to have more good days than bad.” - Jayson Tatum after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Phoenix Suns
PG Devin Booker
SG Bradley Beal
SF Grayson Allen
PF Kevin Durant
C Jusuf Nurkic

Boston Celtics
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Al Horford

Statistical Leaders


Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (28.5)
APG: D. Booker (6.8)
Reb/G: J. Nurkic (10.8)

Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (27)
APG: D. White (5)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.4)

Coaches:
Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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