Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/26/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Jun 25, 2022
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, June 26, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +115, Padres -135; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +115, Padres -135; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +115, Padres -135; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  37-35 (3rd place, NL East)
San Diego Padres:  45-28 (2nd place, NL West)
 
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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 37-35 record overall and they are 18-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 2-game series against the Texas Rangers getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Padres on Sunday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Zach Eflin is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Kyle Gibson will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 4-3 with a 4.06 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits in 6.1 IP against the Texas Rangers. They scored 2 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging 5.5 runs allowed per game.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 45-28 record overall and they are 21-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Sunday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Blake Snell is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Yu Darvish will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 7-3 with a 3.17 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits in 7 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just under 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Phillies vs Padres Prediction

The Padres are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing well all season with one of the best records in the NL and they just pulled off a shutout win against the Phillies in the 2nd game of this series. The Phillies have also been playing much better in recent weeks but they have been cooling off a little in their recent games and have not been hitting the ball as well. They have Gibson starting here and he has not been awful this season but he has not been great either and he will likely struggle on the road here against a team that has been heating up and scoring runs. Darvish is starting for the Padres here and he has been great this season, likely continuing his great performances here at home. The best bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
 
Phillies Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 26, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Padres 3 Phillies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Philadelphia Phillies: 147-147 (-23.2 Units) ML in all games. 64-83 (-21.8 Units) ML in road games. KYLE GIBSON is 14-8 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150.
San Diego Padres: 45-28 (+12 Units) ML in all games. 17-12 (+5.8 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 27-18 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Maton (SS) Early July - Shoulder. J. Segura (SS) Late Aug - Finger. S. Coonrod (RP) Early July - Shoulder.
San Diego Padres:  M. Machado (3B) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Beaty (1B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid July - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"The storyline's there, right? Baseball can be a great game in instances like that. It can break your heart other times. That's just great theater. The only RBI of the game against his brother, that's pretty cool stuff." - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Phillies on Friday.
 
 
"I don't know how he does it. You actually look at the discoloration, what it looks like, the swelling's down but it doesn't look like it feels too good. I don't think anything with him at this point surprises me." - Bob Melvin after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Bryce Harper (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Matt Vierling (R) CF
Johan Camargo (S) SS
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
 
San Diego Padres
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Luke Voit (R) DH
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Austin Nola (R) C
Nomar Mazara (L) RF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
C.J. Abrams (L) SS
Jose Azocar (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Bryce Harper (77)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)
RBI:  Bryce Harper (48)
Stolen Bases:  Bryce Harper (9)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (11)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.328)
Hits:  Manny Machado (83)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (12)
RBI:  Manny Machado (46)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (7)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (8)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (22)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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