Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/25/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Jun 24, 2022
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 25, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  BSSD

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -105, Padres -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Padres -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Padres -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  37-34 (3rd place, NL East)
San Diego Padres:  44-28 (2nd place, NL West)
 
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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 37-34 record overall and they are 18-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 2-game series against the Texas Rangers getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Saturday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Aaron Nola is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Zach Eflin will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 2-5 with a 4.43 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 2 Ks on 5 hits in 2 IP against the Washington Nationals. They scored 2 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging 5.5 runs allowed per game.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 44-28 record overall and they are 20-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Saturday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Rookie pitcher MacKenzie Gore is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Blake Snell will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 0-4 with a 5.46 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits in 4.2 innings played against the Colorado Rockies. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just under 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Phillies vs Padres Prediction

The Padres are coming into this game after dropping the series opener in this series but they have been playing well in their recent games. They are going up against a Phillies team that has been playing very well in their recent games but have been cooling off a little after going on a long streak. The Phillies have Eflin starting in this game and he has not been great this season but is also coming off of a game where he did not pitch well and allowed 4 runs. The Padres have Snell starting here and he has not had a good season either, also coming off of a bad start in his last one, but he has also been a proven pitcher over his career and is pitching a lot worse than he should be. He has been struggling but is bound to bounce back as his numbers start to correct and he is a much better option here over Eflin on the road in this game. The best bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
 
Phillies Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 25, 2022 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Padres 7 Phillies 5.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Philadelphia Phillies: 147-146 (-22 Units) ML in all games. 64-82 (-20.6 Units) ML in road games. 26-19 UNDER when playing on Saturday.
San Diego Padres: 44-28 (+10.9 Units) ML in all games. 16-12 (+4.6 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 26-18 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Maton (SS) Early July - Shoulder. J. Segura (SS) Late Aug - Finger. S. Coonrod (RP) Early July - Shoulder.
San Diego Padres:  M. Machado (3B) Ques Fri - Ankle. M. Beaty (1B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid July - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We just laid some good at-bats on him. We grinded a little bit and once we got some momentum we just kept it. We got some energy and just kept rolling with it." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Padres on Thursday.
 
 
"I don't know how he does it. You actually look at the discoloration, what it looks like, the swelling's down but it doesn't look like it feels too good. I don't think anything with him at this point surprises me." - Bob Melvin after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Bryce Harper (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Odubel Herrera (L) CF
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
 
San Diego Padres
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Jorge Alfaro (R) DH
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Jose Azocar (R) RF
C.J. Abrams (L) 2B
Sergio Alcantara (S) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Bryce Harper (77)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)
RBI:  Bryce Harper (48)
Stolen Bases:  Bryce Harper (9)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (11)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.328)
Hits:  Manny Machado (83)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (12)
RBI:  Manny Machado (46)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (7)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (8)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (21)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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