Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/24/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, June 24, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  BSSD

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Padres +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Padres +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Padres +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  36-34 (3rd place, NL East)
San Diego Padres:  44-27 (2nd place, NL West)
 
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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10
San Diego Padres:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 36-34 record overall and they are 17-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 3 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Texas Rangers getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Friday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Ranger Suárez is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Aaron Nola will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 4-4 with a 3.11 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 4 hits in 8 IP against the Washington Nationals. They scored 2 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging 5.5 runs allowed per game.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 44-27 record overall and they are 20-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 3 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Friday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Joe Musgrove is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while rookie pitcher MacKenzie Gore will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 4-3 with a 3.64 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 3 homers, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 9 hits in 4 innings played against the Colorado Rockies. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just under 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Phillies vs Padres Prediction

The Phillies are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently as their bats have been cooling off after going on a very hot streak. They are going up against a Padres team that has one of the best records in the MLB right now and has been scoring a lot of runs in their games. The Phillies have Nola starting in this game though and he has been very good all season after a rough start. He has been pitching very well and is barely allowing many runs in their games and should be able to do enough here to stunt the Padres offense. The Padres have Gore starting here and he has also been having a great season but the Phillies have a very experienced lineup that will find ways to take advantage of this rookie pitcher so this could end up being a long day for him out on the mound. Nola could turn this game into a pitching duel and if that happens then Gore cannot be trusted to hold down a lineup like the Phillies have. The best bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
 
Phillies Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 24, 2022 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 3 Padres 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Philadelphia Phillies: 146-146 (-23.3 Units) ML in all games. 95-75 (-16.7 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 26-17 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
San Diego Padres: 44-27 (+12.4 Units) ML in all games. 15-9 (+9 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 26-21 OVER after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival.
 

Key Injuries

 
Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Maton (SS) Early July - Shoulder. J. Segura (SS) Late Aug - Finger. S. Coonrod (RP) Early July - Shoulder.
San Diego Padres:  M. Machado (3B) Ques Thurs - Ankle. M. Beaty (1B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid July - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think that's what it was. I've just got to go on after that, and just cut down the inning quicker. ... My command was off, just felt a little off in general." - Zack Wheeler after their loss against the Rangers on Wednesday.
 
 
"I was just happy I was out there. It was a rough 10 days. I'm glad we won, obviously. But just getting back in this ballpark. It's one thing to watch it on TV and you miss the excitement and the fans and all that goes on here. So to be able to get in the dugout and kind of see all that again and get a win on top of it was great." - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Bryce Harper (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Odubel Herrera (L) CF
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
 
San Diego Padres
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Luke Voit (R) 1B
Jorge Alfaro (R) DH
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
Austin Nola (R) C
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Jose Azocar (R) RF
C.J. Abrams (L) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Bryce Harper (76)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (19)
RBI:  Bryce Harper (48)
Stolen Bases:  Bryce Harper (9)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (11)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.328)
Hits:  Manny Machado (83)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (12)
RBI:  Manny Machado (46)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (7)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (8)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (21)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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