Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/23/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Thursday, June 23, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +125, Padres -145; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +130, Padres -150; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +125, Padres -155; Over/Under:  7 runs
 

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  36-33 (3rd place, NL East)
San Diego Padres:  43-27 (2nd place, NL West)
 
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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 36-33 record overall and they are 17-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just won their 5-game series against the Washington Nationals 4-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Padres on Thursday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Texas Rangers still to be played on Wednesday. Zack Wheeler is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Ranger Suárez will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 5-4 with a 4.43 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits in 5.2 IP against the Washington Nationals. They scored 0 runs in their last series averaging 0 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging 7 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 43-27 record overall and they are 19-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies getting swept 3-0 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Thursday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Arizona Diamondbacks still to be played on Wednesday. Mike Clevinger is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Joe Musgrove will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 8-0 with a 1.59 ERA this season. His team won 11 of their 12 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 9 strikeouts on 5 hits in 7 innings played against the Chicago Cubs. They scored 7 runs in their last series averaging 3.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 3 runs against them averaging 1.5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Phillies vs Padres Prediction

The Padres are coming into this game playing very well recently and they have been working their way up the standings to 2nd place in their division with all of these wins now. They are going up against a Phillies team that has been very hot and playing well ever since firing Joe Girardi but they have been losing some games recently and look to be slowing down a little now. They have Suarez starting on the mound here and he has not had a great season so far, allowing many runs in a few of his recent starts. The Padres have Musgrove on the mound here and he has been much better this season as he has the most wins on the pitching staff so far. The team has only lost 1 game all season that he started and they have had nothing but success with him as he has not had a bad start this season. He gives the Padres a major pitching advantage here but they have also been hitting very well in their games and should score some runs here at home. The best bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
 
Phillies Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 23, 2022 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 3 Phillies 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Philadelphia Phillies: 146-145 (-21.9 Units) ML in all games. 63-81 (-20.5 Units) ML in road games. 22-11 OVER in road games.
San Diego Padres: 43-27 (+11.4 Units) ML in all games. 16-7 (+8.6 Units) ML against left-handed starters. JOE MUSGROVE is 10-4 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Maton (SS) Early July - Shoulder. J. Segura (SS) Late Aug - Finger. B. Harper (RF) Ques Wed - Hand.
San Diego Padres:  M. Machado (3B) Ques Wed - Ankle. M. Beaty (1B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid July - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's always interesting but fun to face guys that you've been on the same team with and you've known for a while. That's always a different part of the competition side of it, and I enjoy that. Didn't go our way." - Kyle Gibson after their loss against the Rangers on Tuesday.
 
 
"It's good to see his approach morphing into something we can really work with right now. He has tightened that zone up a lot here of late this year and that has added to him being able to have some success and have some big hits for us." - Ryan Christenson after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Alec Bohm (R) DH
Matt Vierling (R) CF
Johan Camargo (S) 3B
Yairo Munoz (R) 2B
 
San Diego Padres
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Luke Voit (R) DH
Nomar Mazara (L) RF
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Jorge Alfaro (R) C
C.J. Abrams (L) SS
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Bryce Harper (75)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (18)
RBI:  Bryce Harper (48)
Stolen Bases:  Jean Segura (8)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (11)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.328)
Hits:  Manny Machado (83)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (12)
RBI:  Manny Machado (46)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (7)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (8)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (21)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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