Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 10/19/2022

by James Q

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 10/19/2022

Game Time: 4:35 pm ET, Wednesday, October 19th, 2022
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, California
Where to Watch:  FOX, FS1, FOX Deportes

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline: Phillies +110, Padres -120; O/U 7  
PointsBet:  Moneyline: Phillies +105, Padres -120; O/U 6.5
Caesars: Moneyline: Phillies +110, Padres -120; O/U 7

Season Record

Phillies: 87-75, 3rd place NL East
Padres: 89-73, 2nd place NL West

Game two of the NLCS.  A best of seven series with the first two being played in San Diego, Games 3, 4, and 5* (if needed*) in Philly, and Games 6* and 7* (if needed*) to finish out in San Diego.  The old 2-3-2 format!  So many twists and turns if all goes well.  The Great Betting Opportunities of each game will come down to pitching…. But with these clubs there will always be a feeling for who has the HOT bats and the momentum!

The Philadelphia Phillies came out of Game 1 with a win.  A 2-0 victory on only 3 hits.  More importantly they held San Diego to only 1 hit and 0 runs in 9 innings. Phillies ACE Zach Wheeler was dominant as he threw a 7 inning shutout.  Phillies stars Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber each blasted solo home runs to account for all the scoring in the game.  Phillies reliever Jose Alvarado spent a few tense moments in the ninth inning with two runners on base… but was able to get the last few outs to call it a night.  The Phillies stole Game 1.

The San Diego Padres had the very unexpected position of home field advantage in the NLCS
Since the Dodgers, Mets, and Braves have all been knocked out.  That left The Padres as the best regular season record left standing.  In Game 1 they lost that home field advantage and possibly all the momentum and positive feelings the Dodgers series had given them.  The Padres simply failed to get any scoring going whatsoever.  Going zilch for the game.  They also used up Yu Darvish for the next couple of days with nothing to show for it.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Review and Analysis

Recent Form  

PHI: 92-76, 581 ML, 84-77-7 O/U, 43-42 in road games.
SD 94-75, -357 ML, 79-84-6 O/U, 46-37 in home games.

Offensive Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies finished the season 7th in scoring with 4.61 runs per game, 8th in batting average with .253, and 11th in OBP with .317.

The San Diego Padres finished the season 13th in runs scored with 4.35 per game, 16th in batting average with .241, and 8th in OBP with .318.

Defensive Analysis

The Phillies pitchers finished the season 18th in ERA, 14th in WHIP, and their fielders finished 3rd in errors with only 69 on the season.

The Padres pitchers finished the season 11th in ERA with 3.81, 9th in WHIP, and their fielders finished 8th in errors with 76 on the season.  

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Our prediction for Wednesday, October 19th is…   Padres 5 - Phillies 2

Bet on the Padres.  They will have all the motivation to get Game 2 at home and they will need to because they will have to go to Philly for the next 3 games (if that many are needed).  This is the last stand if they want to make it back to Petco Park and see the inside of a World Series.

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MLB Betting Trends

The Phillies are 15-11 (+4.2 UNITS) when the total is 7 or less.
The Padres are 63-48 (-15.3 UNITS) as a favorite of -110 or higher.

Players to Watch 

Phillies: RHP Aaron Nola, 11-13 regular season, 2-0 last series, 3.25 ERA, 235 strikeouts in 205 innings pitched.  0.96 WHIP.  “Nols” has come alive in the postseason.  He is hot at the right time.

Padres: LHP Blake Snell, 8-10 regular season, 1-0 last series, 3.38 ERA, 171 strikeouts in 128 innings pitched.  1.20 WHIP. “Zilla” handled the Dodgers pretty well and now goes for a crack at the Phillies.

Starting Lineups

Phillies: LF Kyle Schwarber, 1B Rhys Hoskins, C JT Realmuto, DH Bryce Harper, RF Nick Castellanos, 3B Alex Bohm, SS Bryson Stott, 2B Jean Segura, CF Brandon Marsh

Padres: LF Jurickson Profar, RF Juan Soto, 3B Manny Machado, DH Josh Bell, 2B Jake Cronenworth, 1B Will Myers, SS Ha-Seong Kim, CF Trent Grisham, C Austin Nola 


Phillies: Rob “how bout them ears” Thompson

Padres: Bob “um ma ma” Melvin

Weather Forecast 

Partly Cloudy, 82* During the day, it will dip a bit at night.  Humidity 57%, wind 10 mph.    

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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