Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/01/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, May 31, 2023
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 1, 2023
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +135, Mets -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +135, Mets -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +135, Mets -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  25-29 (4th place, NL East)
New York Mets:  28-27 (3rd place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10



Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis


The Phillies are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak after splitting their 4-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 25-29 record overall and have a road record of 11-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-2 with a 5.57 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 10 hits through 6.2 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Mets are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 28-27 record overall and have a home record of 13-9. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.


Phillies vs Mets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets are sitting right around .500 this season but they have been playing a lot better in their games lately and even their offense has been a lot more consistent with scoring runs. They have a really good team and are bound to go on a big run soon as they continue to improve more and this series against a divisional rival could be exactly what they need to propel themselves forward. The Phillies haven't been that great this season either as they are below .500 right now and have been struggling to get over. Their pitching has been bad and their offense has been really up and down in their games. That inconsistent offense is going to let them down here with Scherzer on the mound as he has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately and hasn't been giving up as many runs as he was earlier in the season. The Mets are also going to be seeing a familiar face here as Walker is starting for the Phillies and he was on the Mets just last season. Walker hasn't been good this season as he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts and it is nothing the Mets aren't familiar with from last season. They also know his pitches really well so they will be able to take advantage of that and score some runs on him here. This series is going to give the Mets the spark they need to keep rolling and try to challenge the Braves for the NL East. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Phillies Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 1, 2023 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 7 Phillies 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Philadelphia Phillies: 25-29 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-20 (-12 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 9-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 9-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.

New York Mets: 52-22 (+20.1 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 148-105 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. MAX SCHERZER is 14-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more and 38-22 UNDER in June games.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Hall (1B) Mid June - Thumb. J. Alvarado (RP) Early June - Elbow. C. Pache (LF) Mid June - Knee. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

New York Mets:  S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Out indefinitely - Thumb. J. Quintana (SP) Mid July - Ribs. E. Uceta (RP) Early June - Ankle. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Narvaez (C) Mid June - Calf. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“We chased. We haven’t seen him. ... When you see a guy the first time, even if it’s a rookie, sometimes it’s tough to deal with.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Tuesday.


“That’s my type of game right there. I love it whenever we can play good defense and help the pitcher get out of innings — it’s fun. I like my home run, but I think Nimmo’s play was cooler.” - Francisco Lindor after their win against the Phillies in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Phillies
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Trea Turner (R) SS
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Kody Clemens (L) 1B
Dalton Guthrie (R) LF

New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Vientos (R) DH
Starling Marte (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.360)
Hits:  Nick Castellanos (62)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (13)
RBI:  Alec Bohm (37)
Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (8)
Wins:  Aaron Nola (4)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (7)
ERA:  Jose Alvarado (0.63)

New York Mets
Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)
Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (63)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (20)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (46)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (15)
Wins:  Tylor Megill (5)
Saves:  David Robertson (9)
ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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