Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  25-28 (4th place, NL East)

New York Mets:  27-27 (3rd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

New York Mets:  6-4 last 10

The Phillies are entering this game off of a win in their last game after splitting their 4-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 25-28 record overall and have a road record of 11-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mets on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Dylan Covey was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Mets are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak after losing their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 27-27 record overall and have a home record of 12-9. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Tylor Megill was their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-3 with a 3.94 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 5 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been playing great lately and they are struggling just to stay above .500 this season but their offense definitely came to play in the last series despite them losing 2 of the 3 games. They are back at home here and they will be looking to carry their hot offense into this series which shouldn't be a problem with the way the Phillies bullpen has pitched all year and Suarez hasn't been that great of a starter either. Suarez hasn't pitched in many games this season but he has given up a ton of runs in every start and he is going to struggle in this divisional battle with the Mets offense getting hot now. The Mets are starting Senga in this game and even though he is in his rookie season, he hasn't been that bad this year and he has been really good in his home starts as he is a much better pitcher there. He will put up another good performance here at home and the Mets offense will be looking to get a win after scoring all those runs on Sunday with nothing to show for it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Phillies Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 30, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 7 Phillies 3.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 61-65 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 32-20 (+10.9 units) on the moneyline after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more. 24-17 UNDER after allowing 9 runs or more. 6-3 UNDER after a game where they committed 3 or more errors. 

New York Mets: 27-27 (-11.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-14 (-12.8 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 26-12 UNDER after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games. 6-1 UNDER after scoring 9 runs or more. 

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Hall (1B) Mid June - Thumb. J. Alvarado (RP) Early June - Elbow. C. Pache (LF) Mid June - Knee. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

New York Mets:  S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Out indefinitely - Thumb. J. Quintana (SP) Mid July - Ribs. E. Uceta (RP) Early June - Ankle. J. Yacabonis (RP) Early June - Quadricep. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. O. Narvaez (C) Mid June - Calf. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

"Every guy is going to have to look in the mirror and understand what their job is, what their role is. We need to have urgency every day that we play. It doesn't matter if we're in first place, last place or in the middle.” - Bryce Harper on their poor start to the season.

“He was playing over in right-center on the one and he just couldn't get to it. He's our best option out there." - Buck Showalter on Starling Marte after his team’s loss against the Rockies in their game on Sunday.

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Brandon Nimmo (L) DH

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Mark Vientos (R) 3B

Starling Marte (R) CF

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Mark Canha (R) RF

Eduardo Escobar (S) 2B

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.360)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (62)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (13)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (37)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (8)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (4)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (7)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (0.63)

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (63)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (20)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (46)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (14)

Wins:  Tylor Megill (5)

Saves:  David Robertson (8)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)