Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Preview - mm/dd/yyyy

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, September 18, 2021
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  Fox


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Mets +100; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  74-72 (2nd place, NL East)
New York Mets:  72-75 (3rd place, NL East)
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Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10
New York Mets:  3-7 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game after winning their last 2 games. This will be the 2nd game of a three-game series against the Mets with the series opener being on Friday, the result is still pending. They just won their three-game series against the Chicago Cubs after losing in a four-game series to the Colorado Rockies. Zack Wheeler will be getting the nod for Friday's game while Aaron Nola will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Saturday. He is 7-8 this season with a 4.58 ERA. The team has lost 5 of the last 7 games that he has started in and he has been credited with 2 losses in a row now. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 of those being a HR, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Colorado Rockies last Sunday. He has faced the Mets lineup twice this season, both times back in April, and the team won 1 of those and lost the other. The win was a no-decision while the loss he was credited with allowing 3 runs in that game. The Phillies offense has put up 26 runs in their last 3 games averaging over 8 runs scored per game in that span. They have also allowed 19 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 6 runs per game.

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game on a 3 game losing streak after getting swept by the St. Louis Cardinals in their last series. They had won their series before that one against the New York Yankees. Taijuan Walker will be the starter for Friday's game while Carlos Carrasco is the starter for this game on Saturday. He is 1-2 with a 5.59 ERA this season. The team has won their last 3 games when he has been the starter, he was credited with 1 of those wins. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings of work against the New York Yankees last Sunday. He has not faced this Phillies lineup at all this season as this will be his first time pitching against them this year. The Mets offense has scored 10 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little over 3 runs scored per game in that span. They have also allowed their opponents to score 25 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 8 runs per game.


Phillies vs Mets Prediction

The Phillies still have a slim chance to make the playoffs but they must win all of their games from this point on. This is a very important series as they sit just 2.5 games out of a wildcard position while the Mets are sitting 5 games out. This is a chance for the Phillies to gain some ground while they bury the Mets even deeper out of contention. The Phillies have been playing better in their recent games too. The only bet here to make is on the Phillies as they wil come out as the winners of this game.
Phillies Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 18, 2021 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Mets 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia Phillies: 27-30 (-10 units) on the money line when the money line is -100 to -150. 20-23 (-4.7 units) on the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.
New York Mets: 72-75 (-17.8 units) on the money line in all games. 18-12 (+2.9 units) on the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150.

Key Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Realmuto (C) Prob Fri - Tricep injury. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. T. Jankowski (RF) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
New York Mets:  T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Elbow injury. B. Nimmo (LF) Prob Fri - Hamstring injury. N. Syndergaard (SP) Late Sept - Elbow injury.

Players to Watch

Philadelphia Phillies: Bryce Harper is one player to watch here. He leads his team in batting average, home runs, RBI, and stolen bases. If they are going to have a chance to slip into a wildcard spot he will need to produce some offense for the team here so look for him to make an impact.
New York Mets: Pete Alonso is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in hits, home runs, and in RBI. He will need to step up here at the plate and help his team get a win.

Notable Quotes

"It feels good but we've got a while to go. I want to keep playing well and have good at-bats, have good games and just be where we need to be down the stretch." - Bryce Harper after their 17-8 win over the Cubs.
"We didn't come through in situations to score more runs." - Luis Rojas after a close 7-6 loss to the Cardinals.

Starting Lineups

Philadelphia Phillies
O. Herrera CF
J. Segura 2B
B. Harper RF
J.T. Realmuto C
D. Gregorius SS
A. McCutchen LF
B. Miller 1B
F. Galvis 3B
C. Bedrosian P
New York Mets
J. Villar 3B
F. Lindor SS
J. Baez 2B
P. Alonso 1B
M. Conforto RF
K. Pillar CF
J. McCann C
J. McNeil LF
T. Megill P

Statistical Leaders

Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  B. Harper (.311)
Hits:  J. Segura (138)
Home Runs:  B. Harper (33)
RBI:  B. Harper (77)
Stolen Bases:  B. Harper (13)
Wins:  Z. Wheeler (13)
Saves:  I. Kennedy (22)
ERA:  R. Suarez (1.50)
New York Mets
Batting Average:  B. Nimmo (.302)
Hits:  P. Alonso (131)
Home Runs:  P. Alonso (33)
RBI:  P. Alonso (87)
Stolen Bases:  J. Baez (17)
Wins:  M. Stroman (9)
Saves:  E. Diaz (29)
ERA:  A. Loup (1.05)
Philadelphia Phillies: Joe Girardi (2nd season)
New York Mets: Luis Rojas (2nd season)

Weather Forecast

68 degrees F scattered thunderstorms, 84% humidity, 40% chance of rain, up to 6 mph wind speeds S.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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