Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/03/2023

Game Time: 12:10 pm ET, Thursday, August 3, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Marlins +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Marlins +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Marlins +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  58-49 (2nd place, NL East)

Miami Marlins:  57-51 (3rd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-49 record overall and have a road record of 30-29. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the series opener of this series and the 2nd game on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Michael Lorenzen is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-7 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-51 record overall and have a home record of 33-23. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series and the 2nd game on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Braxton Garrett is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Johnny Cueto is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA this season. His team lost all 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have climbed back into 2nd place in the NL East as they have been fighting with the Marlins in the division but they have used this series to gain some ground on them and are starting to get hot once again. Their offense has been better than the Marlins offense lately and even their pitching has been really good too. They are going with Lorenzen on the mound here and he hasn't been bad in his starts this year. He hasn't been giving up too many runs in his starts lately and the Phillies have a really strong offense to bail them out here too. The Marlins are going with Cueto in this game and he hasn't been great in his starts this season. He gave up 4 runs in his last start and hasn't made many starts this year either. This Phillies offense is starting to get hot again and Cueto is going to struggle to keep them off the board while the Marlins offense hasn't been great in their games lately and they will struggle to offer run support in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Phillies Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 3, 2023 (12:10 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Marlins 3.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 11-18 (-7.3 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 11-15 (-7.9 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 19-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. MICHAEL LORENZEN is 14-8 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.

Miami Marlins: 57-51 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 45-40 (+4.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 15-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. JOHNNY CUETO is 18-7 UNDER in home games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Realmuto (C) Ques Wed - Hand. C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Miami Marlins:  M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. A. Nardi (SP) Mid Aug - Tricep. T. Nance (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Mid Aug - Bicep. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“It was big for the club to come back in that game. Alcantara was really good. We couldn’t get much going off of him." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Tuesday.

“Once he had over 100 pitches that was kind of it. If he started that inning under 100 pitches, there could have been more consideration. But he did plenty and we just couldn’t push a couple of more runs across.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Tuesday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Avisail Garcia (R) RF

Jesus Sanchez (L) CF

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Jacob Stallings (R) C

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.327)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (118)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (27)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (66)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (12)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (18)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (151)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (25)

RBI:  Bryan De La Cruz (57)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (15)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)