Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/02/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, August 2, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Marlins +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Marlins +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Marlins +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  57-49 (2nd place, NL East)

Miami Marlins:  57-50 (3rd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-49 record overall and have a road record of 29-29. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-5 with a 3.74 ERA this season. His team won 8 of their last 9 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 11 Ks on 3 hits through 6.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-50 record overall and have a home record of 33-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Sandy Alcantara is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Braxton Garrett is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-3 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies were really hot going into the All-Star break and were really up and down coming out of it but they are starting to get hot once again and have now taken over 2nd place in the NL East. They now have a slim lead over the Marlins in 3rd place and they will be using this series to try and extend their lead even more. They have Wheeler on the mound here and he has been a really reliable starter for them all year. He has been pitching really well in his starts lately since he hasn't been giving up many runs and the team is finding a lot of success with him starting. The Marlins already haven't had a great offense all season and lately they haven't been putting up a ton of runs either as their strength has been their pitching. They do have Garrett on the mound here and he has been pitching really well in his starts lately, but he has not been that consistent all season and he will struggle to shut down this Phillies lineup that has been getting hot again. Meanwhile, the Marlins are going to struggle to put up runs on Wheeler with that offense that hasn't been doing much lately and the Phillies will be able to win this game with their better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Phillies Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 2, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Marlins 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 10-18 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 10-15 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 18-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. ZACK WHEELER is 20-11 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Miami Marlins: 57-50 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 45-39 (+6.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. BRAXTON GARRETT is 18-10 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher and 27-17 UNDER in all games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Miami Marlins:  M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. A. Nardi (SP) Mid Aug - Tricep. T. Nance (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Mid Aug - Bicep. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“You have to let them throw something to hit. We have a very aggressive team, lot of good hitters and sometimes that kind of works against you. We’ve done a pretty good job of being disciplined and making pitchers come to us lately.” - Alec Bohm after their win against the Marlins in their game on Monday.

“It’s frustrating because Cabrera’s got such good stuff, probably the best stuff on the staff. That was tough because he felt really good. He was just frustrated because he just couldn’t get the ball over the plate.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Monday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Brandon Marsh (L) RF

Jake Cave (L) 1B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) RF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jon Berti (R) LF

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Nick Fortes (R) C

Batting Average:  Johan Rojas (.346)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (118)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (27)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (66)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (12)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (18)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (149)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (25)

RBI:  Bryan De La Cruz (57)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (15)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)