Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 1, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +102, Marlins -122; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +102, Marlins -122; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +102, Marlins -122; Over/Under:  8 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  56-49 (3rd place, NL East)

Miami Marlins:  57-49 (2nd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10

Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-49 record overall and have a road record of 28-29. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Monday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-5 with a 4.22 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-49 record overall and have a home record of 33-21. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Edward Cabrera is their starting pitcher on Monday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-9 with a 4.46 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 9 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins weren't playing great out of the All-Star break but they have started to get hot again and are back in 2nd place of the NL East. The Phillies were very hot going into the All-Star break but that break killed a lot of their momentum and they have been struggling to get back on track since coming out. The Phillies are going to have Suarez on the mound here and he hasn't been great in his starts this season as he has been giving up quite a few runs. He has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts lately too and just gave up 4 runs in his last one. This Marlins offense has been getting hot again and they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get in this game with the way Suarez has been pitching lately. The Marlins also have Alcantara on the mound here and he will be able to shut down this Phillies lineup that hasn't been putting up a ton of runs lately. Alcantara hasn't been great in his starts this year but he does have the potential to be great after the season he had last year and he has also been pitching a lot better in his starts lately too. The Marlins have also been a lot better in their home games all season and this will be a huge series for them as they try to spread the gap between them and the Phillies in the NL East. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Phillies Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 1, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Phillies 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 9-18 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 9-15 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. RANGER SUAREZ is 5-1 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 8-4 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.

Miami Marlins: 57-49 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 33-21 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 17-9 OVER against division opponents. SANDY ALCANTARA is 14-6 OVER in all games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Miami Marlins:  M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. A. Nardi (SP) Early Aug - Tricep. T. Nance (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Early Aug - Bicep. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“I’ve seen us play better, that’s for sure. We have to clean it up. We made some fundamental mistakes. ... We have to clean it all up and we will.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.

“We needed to win that series. I never say ‘must win’ but heading into a big series against Philly and a 13-game stretch, this is a big homestand. Getting on track of winning the first series was important.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Josh Harrison (R) 2B

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Garrett Cooper (R) DH

Jon Berti (R) SS

Avisail Garcia (R) RF

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Nick Fortes (R) C

Garrett Hampson (R) CF

Batting Average:  Johan Rojas (.348)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (118)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (27)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (65)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (17)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Batting Average:  Xavier Edwards (.381)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (146)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (24)

RBI:  Bryan De La Cruz (57)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Robert Garcia (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)