Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 23, 2023

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -140, Guardians +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -140, Guardians +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -140, Guardians +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  52-45 (2nd place, NL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  48-49 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-45 record overall and have a road record of 26-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-6 with a 4.27 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 7.1 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Guardians are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-49 record overall and have a home record of 25-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Rookie pitcher Tanner Bibee is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Xzavion Curry is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-0 with a 2.86 ERA this season. His team lost 8 of their last 9 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 2 strikeouts on 1 hit through 3 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians haven't been great this season but they have been playing a lot better in their games lately and have been winning a lot of their games with their great pitching staff as they look to chase down the Twins in 1st place of the AL Central. The Phillies were very hot going into the All-Star break but they have lost their momentum now as they have been losing more games lately. The Phillies are going with Nola in this game but he hasn't been the same reliable starter he was last season. Nola has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts all season and has been especially bad in his road starts too. The Guardians don't have a great offense but they have been playing a lot better lately and they will be able to put up runs on Nola at home where they have been playing a lot better. The Guardians are going with Curry in this game but he hasn't been bad out of the bullpen this season and was also really good in his last start. The Phillies offense hasn't been hitting well lately either so he will be able to shut them down here while the Guardians continue to stay hot at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Phillies Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 23, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Guardians 3 Phillies 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 34-31 (-4.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 106-117 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 19-10 UNDER in an inter-league game. 

Cleveland Guardians: 145-135 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 224-204 (+16.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-16 UNDER in home games. 36-22 UNDER against right-handed starters.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. N. Song (SP) Late July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Bieber (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. C. Quantrill (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

“He looked pretty comfortable. He didn’t look out of place.” - Rob Thomson on Bryce Harper after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Friday.

“We had a bloop that fell in that seemed like it was up there forever. We had what we thought was a double play, probably didn’t execute it clean enough. Those things become more glaring in things like this.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Pirates in their game on Wednesday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Jake Cave (L) LF

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Josh Bell (S) DH

David Fry (R) C

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Myles Straw (R) CF

Gabriel Arias (R) RF

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.327)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (111)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (26)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (60)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.312)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (108)

Home Runs:  Josh Naylor (15)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (76)

Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (15)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (26)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)