Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/22/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 22, 2023

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -115, Guardians -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -115, Guardians -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -115, Guardians -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  52-44 (2nd place, NL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  47-49 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-44 record overall and have a road record of 26-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-4 with a 4.04 ERA this season. His team won their last 7 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Guardians are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-49 record overall and have a home record of 24-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .698 OPS. Rookie pitcher Gavin Williams is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians haven't been great this season with their losing record but they have been playing a lot better lately as they are only 2 games under .500 and right on the Twins tail for the lead of the AL Central. The Guardians have also had one of the worst offenses in the MLB this season but that has also been getting a lot better lately as they have been putting up a lot more runs in their games. The Phillies have also been really hot over the last few weeks as they have been surging up the standings in the NL East now in 2nd place, but they lost a lot of their momentum in the All-Star break and haven't been as good in their games lately. Their offense hasn't been putting up as many runs lately and that is going to be troublesome here since the Guardians have a really good pitching staff in general. They do have their rookie Bibee on the mound here but he has been really good in a majority of his starts this season, not giving up many runs at all. Meanwhile, the Phillies are going with Wheeler here and he has been giving up quite a few runs consistently in his starts lately. He has also been worse in his road starts this season and will be at risk to give up some runs on the road here with the Guardians offense now getting hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Phillies Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 22, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 5 Phillies 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 19-10 (+9 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 5-1 (+4 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 19-9 UNDER in an inter-league game. 4-2 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians: 47-49 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-19 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 30-15 UNDER in home games. 36-22 UNDER against right-handed starters.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Harrison (2B) Late July - Wrist. N. Song (SP) Late July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Bieber (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. C. Quantrill (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

“There's a reason why he's an All-Star. You just have to give him credit. Cutter was good, curveball was good and he threw strikes. He was really good. He was throwing 93, 94 and he can locate it.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Thursday.

“We had a bloop that fell in that seemed like it was up there forever. We had what we thought was a double play, probably didn’t execute it clean enough. Those things become more glaring in things like this.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Pirates in their game on Wednesday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Darick Hall (L) 1B

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) DH

Josh Bell (S) 1B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Tyler Freeman (R) 3B

David Fry (R) RF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Cam Gallagher (R) C

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.327)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (109)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (26)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (59)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.310)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (104)

Home Runs:  Josh Naylor (15)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (75)

Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (15)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (25)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)