Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2023

Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Where to Watch:  MARQ

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Cubs +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Cubs +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Cubs +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  40-37 (3rd place, NL East)

Chicago Cubs:  37-39 (3rd place, NL Central)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

Chicago Cubs:  8-2 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-37 record overall and have a road record of 19-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-5 with a 4.38 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Cubs are entering this series off of a loss and split their 2-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-39 record overall and have a home record of 20-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Jameson Taillon is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Drew Smyly is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-4 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 5 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cubs have been playing a lot better in their games lately as their offense has been getting hot again and their pitching has also been a lot better. They are running into a hot ballclub here with the Phillies playing a lot better lately, but the Cubs do have a better pitching matchup that they can exploit at home here. The Phillies are starting Nola in this game and even though he was this team's ace just a season ago, he hasn't been nearly as good this year and has been really bad lately, giving up a ton of runs in his starts. The Cubs have been hitting the ball a lot better lately and they will take advantage of the way Nola hasn't been pitching well lately. The Cubs also have Smyly starting here and he has been a stud starter for them all season, not giving up many runs in his starts at all. He will be looking to get right back on track at home here and he will get plenty of run support from this hot Cubs offense too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to win this game.

Phillies Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 28, 2023 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Cubs 6 Phillies 3.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 21-11 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 23-15 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 26-12 UNDER after a win. 10-3 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Chicago Cubs: 16-23 (-7.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 2-8 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less. 47-25 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better. 14-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders.

Philadelphia Phillies:  S. Dominguez (RP) Mid July - Oblique. N. Song (SP) Early July - Back. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Chicago Cubs:  A. Sampson (SP) Late July - Knee. M. Stroman (SP) day-to-day - Finger. B. Hughes (RP) out for season - Knee. C. Heuer (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Boxberger (RP) Early July - Forearm. P. Wisdom (3B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. N. Burdi (RP) Late July - Appendix. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“I’m not sure if I’ve seen it before. The chances are unlikely, I think.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Sunday.

“They were both really well struck. He’s the kind of guy that you just love to compete against.” - Ian Happ on Adam Wainwright after their win against the Cardinals in their game on Saturday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Nico Hoerner (R) 2B

Seiya Suzuki (R) RF

Christopher Morel (R) CF

Dansby Swanson (R) SS

Ian Happ (S) LF

Trey Mancini (R) 1B

Miguel Amaya (R) DH

Nick Madrigal (R) 3B

Tucker Barnhart (L) C

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.324)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (92)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (47)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (15)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (8)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (11)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.61)

Batting Average:  Christopher Morel (.285)

Hits:  Nico Hoerner (81)

Home Runs:  Patrick Wisdom (14)

RBI:  Nico Hoerner (39)

Stolen Bases:  Nico Hoerner (17)

Wins:  Marcus Stroman (9)

Saves:  Adbert Alzolay (4)

ERA:  Adbert Alzolay (1.85)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)