Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2025

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, June 28, 2025

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +128, Braves -157; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +130, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +130, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  47-34 (2nd place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  37-43 (3rd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-34 record overall and have a road record of 21-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Rookie pitcher Mick Abel is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-3 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 SO on 3 hits through 6.2 IP against the New York Mets.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the New York Mets 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-43 record overall and have a home record of 22-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .698 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Friday while Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings pitched against the New York Mets.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-34 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East. They have been a good road team too with their 21-20 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Braves haven't looked great in their games this season with their 37-43 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark though with their 22-15 home record. The Braves started the season in a terrible hole, but now they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have been getting really hot as they try to get themselves back in the Wild Card race. The Phillies are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a bad series in which they were swept by the Astros and their offense was completely shut down. Luzardo is on the mound for the Phillies in this one and he has looked good this season with his 7 wins, but he has been giving up some runs this year. He is 7-3 with a 4.08 ERA and he is coming off a great start in which he gave up no runs, but the Phillies offense has been a big problem lately and that could come back to bite them even if Luzardo pitches well. Schwellenbach is on the mound for the Braves and he has looked good this year. He is 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA and hasn't been giving up as many runs in his starts. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has caught fire with him on the mound too, winning 3 games in a row now with him starting. The Braves are catching the Phillies at home at the right time in this series and the Braves are only going to be more and more motivated the closer they get to their first winning record of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 28, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Phillies 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 241-180 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 165-117 (+12.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 131-67 (+26.4 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 9-4 UNDER on the road vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.

Atlanta Braves: 230-179 (-36.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 120-80 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 77-55 (-7.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 57-30 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start.

Philadelphia Phillies:  A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. B. Harper (1B) Ten Day IL - Wrist.

Atlanta Braves:  C. Sale (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Rib. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow. D. Hernandez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.

"It'll come. There's more power in this lineup than what we're showing right now." - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Thursday.

“We dug a big hole for ourselves. That was of our own making. But we’re fighting like heck right now to get out of it.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Thursday.

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Max Kepler (L) LF

Otto Kemp (R) 1B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Eli White (R) LF

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Nick Allen (R) SS

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.295)

Hits:  Trea Turner (96)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (24)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (55)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (19)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (7)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Ranger Suárez (2.08)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuña (.369)

Hits:  Austin Riley (88)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (15)

RBI:  Matt Olson (52)

Stolen Bases:  Michael Harris (11)

Wins:  Spencer Schwellenbach (6)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (9)

ERA:  Zach Thompson (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)