Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Friday, June 27, 2025
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: NBCS-P, FDSSE, FDSSO, WPCH
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Phillies +115, Braves -135; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Phillies +115, Braves -135; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Phillies +115, Braves -135; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 47-33 (1st place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves: 37-42 (3rd place, NL East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Brian Bitler is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 30-22-1 MLB RUN for +$8,610 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies: 6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 6-4 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Phillies won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1. They enter this game with a 47-33 record overall and have a road record of 21-19. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Houston Astros still to be played on Thursday. The Phillies lost the series opener of that series on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Cristopher Sanchez is their starting pitcher on Thursday while rookie pitcher Mick Abel is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-1 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 4 HR, and 0 BB with 1 SO on 6 hits through 3 IP against the New York Mets.
The Braves lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1. They enter this game with a 37-42 record overall and have a home record of 22-15. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday with the 4th game of their series against the New York Mets still to be played on Thursday. The Braves won the 1st game of that series on Monday, won the 2nd game on Tuesday, and lost the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Grant Holmes is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-4 with a 4.77 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 4 strikeouts on 10 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-33 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East. They have been a good road team too with their 21-19 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Braves haven't looked great in their games this season with their 37-42 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark though with their 22-15 home record. Both of these teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games and the Phillies are coming off a tough series loss to the Astros which they struggled to score in, but they still have the much better offense and will be able to put some runs up in this game. Elder is on the mound for the Braves in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 2-4 with a 4.77 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts lately. He gave up 5 earned runs in his last start and the team hasn't had a lot of success with him lately, losing 5 of the last 6 games he started in. Abel is on the mound for the Phillies and he didn't look great in his last start, but he has looked good in his rookie year so far. He is 2-1 with a 3.47 ERA and will be looking to bounce back with a better start here. His team has lost 3 of the last 4 games he started in and he did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't really been a common theme for him this year and the Phillies offense will be itching to put some runs up after the series they just had. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
Phillies Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 27, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Braves 4.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies: 241-179 (+7.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 165-116 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 131-67 (+26.4 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 9-4 UNDER on the road vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.
Atlanta Braves: 230-178 (-35.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 120-80 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 171-142 (-39.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 8-3 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start.
Key Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies: A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. B. Harper (1B) Ten Day IL - Wrist.
Atlanta Braves: C. Sale (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Rib. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow. D. Hernandez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"He did the right thing. I don't think he thought the ball was that high that [Walker] had to leave his feet, so he stayed right there." - Rob Thomson on Brandon Marsh not going home on a play in their loss against the Astros on Wednesday.
"I'm super happy to be competing in my third Derby and even more so to be doing it in front of the best fans in baseball, in Braves Country. I'm super excited. It just gives you a tremendous level of confidence from all the fans who are there supporting you." - Ronald Acuna Jr on returning to the HR Derby this season.
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Phillies
Trea Turner (R) SS
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Max Kepler (L) LF
Otto Kemp (R) 1B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Rafael Marchán (S) C
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Drake Baldwin (L) C
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Nick Allen (R) SS
Statistical Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Trea Turner (.299)
Hits: Trea Turner (96)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (24)
RBI: Kyle Schwarber (55)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (19)
Wins: Zack Wheeler (7)
Saves: Jordan Romano (8)
ERA: Ranger Suárez (2.08)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuña (.383)
Hits: Austin Riley (88)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (15)
RBI: Matt Olson (52)
Stolen Bases: Michael Harris (11)
Wins: Spencer Schwellenbach (6)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (9)
ERA: Dylan Dodd (0.00)
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)