Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, May 27, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Braves -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Braves -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Braves -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  23-27 (4th place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  31-19 (1st place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

The Phillies are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 23-27 record overall and have a road record of 9-17. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Friday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-4 with a 4.11 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits through 6 IP against the Arizona D-Backs.

The Braves are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak but lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-19 record overall and have a home record of 14-12. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .792 OPS. Rookie pitcher Jared Shuster is their starting pitcher on Friday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 3.61 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the LA Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves are off to a great start this season with their overall record as they are leading the NL East. They haven't been great over the last week but they are starting to get hot again with 2 wins in a row now. Meanwhile, the Phillies have been struggling all season to get above .500 and haven't been great in their games lately either. The Braves love to beat up on division opponents and they will use this series to get themselves back on track with some wins and start surging once again to protect their lead in the NL East. Morton is up on the mound in this game and he hasn't been great this season, coming off another bad start in his last, but he has still been a reliable starter for them and will be looking to bounce back with a much better performance here at home. Wheeler is starting for the Phillies and he hasn't been any better this season either as he also gives up a lot of runs in his starts and the Phillies also have a much worse bullpen than the Braves do. The Braves have been starting to pitch a lot better in their last few games and they have one of the best offenses in the league too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 27, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 9 Phillies 4.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 23-27 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 2-12 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. ZACK WHEELER is 23-13 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 and 35-26 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Atlanta Braves: 27-13 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 19-7 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 26-13 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 18-8 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5. 

Philadelphia Phillies:  D. Hall (1B) Mid June - Thumb. J. Alvarado (RP) Early June - Elbow. C. Pache (LF) Mid June - Knee. N. Song (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Atlanta Braves:  M. Tonkin (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Adrianza (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Early July - Forearm. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“If that goes well, he'll probably throw some batting practice in New York.” - Rob Thomson on Jose Alvarado after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Thursday.

“The defense saved my butt tonight, especially in the third inning. That was awesome.” - Dylan Dodd after their win against the Phillies in their game on Thursday.

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.360)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (58)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (12)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (37)

Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (7)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (4)

Saves:  Jose Alvarado (5)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (0.63)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.332)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (65)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (14)

RBI:  Matt Olson (37)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (22)

Wins:  Charlie Morton (5)

Saves:  A.J. Minter (7)

ERA:  Danny Young (1.08)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)