Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/25/2023

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Thursday, May 25, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -115, Braves -105; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -115, Braves -105; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -115, Braves -105; Over/Under:  9 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  22-26 (4th place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  29-19 (1st place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak but won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 22-26 record overall and have a road record of 9-16. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Arizona Diamondbacks still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-3 with a 4.31 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 10 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Braves are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak but did win their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-19 record overall and have a home record of 12-12. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 3rd game of their series against the Los Angeles Dodgers still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .788 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Dylan Dodd is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-1 with a 6.46 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 8 hits through 6 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies haven't been great this season but they are starting to play a bit better lately and their offense has been putting up runs in their wins lately. The Braves got off to another great start this season but they have been slowing down over the last 2 weeks with more losses and now they are dealing with injuries to their pitching staff leaving them very thin with starters and their bullpen. The pitching hasn't been great for the Phillies this year but their bullpen has been pitching better lately and they have a solid starter in Nola here who will keep them in this game. The Braves are going with rookie Dodd though and do not have many other options with all of their injuries so they are going to need their offense in this game but it hasn't been putting up many runs lately either. The Phillies can take advantage of the struggling Braves here with their better pitching matchup and their offense should carry them through this win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, May 25, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Braves 3.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 22-26 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 2-11 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. AARON NOLA is 19-12 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 9-5 OVER in May games.

Atlanta Braves: 10-3 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 230-161 (+20.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-18 OVER in all games. 17-7 OVER in home games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  D. Hall (1B) Mid June - Thumb. J. Alvarado (RP) Early June - Elbow. C. Pache (LF) Mid June - Knee. N. Song (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Atlanta Braves:  D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Adrianza (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Early July - Forearm. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“I thought we started slow with the bats, but I thought the at-bats late in the game were good. We got the momentum right there and gave it right back. That's where you have to shut down the inning and maintain your momentum and we just couldn't do it.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks in their game on Tuesday.

“He needs a mental blow right now. A lot of times you can sit there and watch a game and hopefully, when they do that, they go, ‘Wow, it’s not as tough as I’m making it seem.’” - Brian Snitker on Michael Harris II after his team’s loss against the Dodgers in their game on Tuesday.

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.360)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (57)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (12)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (35)

Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (7)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (4)

Saves:  Jose Alvarado (5)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (0.63)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.337)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (63)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (13)

RBI:  Sean Murphy (36)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (20)

Wins:  Charlie Morton (5)

Saves:  A.J. Minter (7)

ERA:  Danny Young (1.08)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)