Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/09/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, August 9, 2024

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ 

Where to Watch:  ARID

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Diamondbacks +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Diamondbacks +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -155, Diamondbacks +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  68-46 (1st place, NL East)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  63-52 (3rd place, NL West)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  8-2 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 68-46 record overall and have a road record of 30-25. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Kolby Allard is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 11-5 with a 2.77 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits through 8 IP against the Seattle Mariners.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-52 record overall and have a home record of 31-25. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Friday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Jordan Montgomery is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-6 with a 4.65 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have looked good in their games this season with their 63-52 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL West and back in the playoff race after a terrible start to the season. They have looked good in their home games too with their 31-25 home record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 68-46 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They haven't looked as good in their road games though, going 30-25 in those. The Diamondbacks have been hot lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games while the Phillies haven't looked great with their 3-7 record in their last 10 games, but the Phillies are starting to get hot again and will have some momentum after beating the Dodgers in a series on the road. They are also going to have their stud on the mound with Wheeler going in this one. Wheeler is 11-5 with a 2.77 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately or all year. He gave up no runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him this season and the team has had a ton of success with him lately, winning 4 of the last 5 games he started in. The Diamondbacks are going with Nelson in this one and he hasn't looked great in his starts this season. He is 8-6 with a 4.65 ERA and hasn't really been keeping teams off the board. His team has had a ton of success with him lately, winning 6 games in a row with him starting, but he also gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has had to bail him out a lot with offense. Offense will be harder to come by for the Diamondbacks in this one with Wheeler on the mound and with the way Nelson has looked in his starts lately, the Phillies can do some damage as they do have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Phillies Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 9, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Diamondbacks 3.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 52-44 (+7.20 units) on the runline in their last 96 games. 60-40 (+17.50 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 100 games. 58-40 to the over with their team total in their last 98 games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 19-25 (-3 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 44 home games. 40-23 to the over in their last 63 games. 8-2 to the over with their team total in their last 10 home games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  G. Moreno (C) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Jarvis (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Walker (1B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. B. Walston (SP) Late Aug - Elbow. M. Kelly (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Nelson (RP) out for season - Shoulder.

“It's good to finally win a series. As of late we've been playing really good baseball and played a really good club over there.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Wednesday.

“Where do I start? There were so many guys who came through for us. I was especially happy for Eduardo because it’s been a long runway for him. He likes pitching here, which is why we targeted this series.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Guardians in their double-header on Wednesday.

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

B Marsh (L) CF

J Realmuto (R) C

N Castellanos (R) RF

B Stott (L) 2B

A Hays (R) LF

C Carroll (L) RF

K Marte (S) 2B

J Pederson (L) DH

J Bell (S) 1B

J McCarthy (L) CF

E Suárez (R) 3B

R Grichuk (R) LF

A Del Castillo (L) C

K Newman (R) SS

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.308)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (129)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (27)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (78)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Carlos Estévez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Adrian Del Castillo (.333)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (127)

Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (29)

RBI:  Ketel Marte (80)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (21)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (16)

ERA:  A.J. Puk (1.80)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)