Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/15/2023

Game Time: 3:40 pm ET, Thursday, June 15, 2023

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ 

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -135, D-Backs +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -135, D-Backs +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -135, D-Backs +115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  33-34 (3rd place, NL East)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  41-26 (1st place, NL West)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  8-2 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  7-3 last 10

The Phillies are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-34 record overall and have a road record of 14-23. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-5 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits through 6.1 IP against the LA Dodgers.

The Diamondbacks are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-26 record overall and have a home record of 21-15. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .770 OPS. Merrill Kelly is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have been having a great start to their season as they have the best record in the NL West at the moment and they also have a top 10 offense in the league. They have been really hot coming into this series just like the Phillies have been, but the Phillies are still under .500 on the season as they haven't been great and they have been a lot worse in their road games this year too. They do have Nola starting in this game who was their ace just a season ago but he hasn't been pitching the way he was last year and has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts lately. He just gave up 6 runs in his last outing while the Diamondbacks have Nelson on the mound here and he hasn't been giving up many runs at all in his starts lately. Nelson will pitch better at home here and will be able to keep this Phillies offense at bay while the Diamondbacks hot offense will put up some runs on Nola here as their offense has been putting up a ton of runs all week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Phillies Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 15, 2023 (3:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 7 Phillies 5.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 14-23 (-9.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 4-14 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 10-5 OVER as a road favorite of -110 or higher. 9-4 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-26 (+18.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-16 (+14 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. RYNE NELSON is 5-2 OVER in home games and 4-2 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125. 

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Late June - Back. D. Hall (1B) Late June - Thumb. C. Pache (LF) Late June - Knee. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Sulser (RP) Late June - Shoulder.M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

“I felt pretty good. Didn't feel my best, but felt good. Everything was working. Command with fastball wasn't the best, but it had some life, so I was getting away with some stuff.” - Zack Wheeler after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Tuesday.

“This was — for me — a total outlier. We've been playing good baseball. We've just got to digest it, throw it out and be ready tomorrow. The game just didn't really have a rhythm to it.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Tuesday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Pavin Smith (L) RF

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH

Corbin Carroll (L) LF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B

Jake McCarthy (L) CF

Josh Rojas (L) 2B

Carson Kelly (R) C

Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.360)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (83)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (18)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (41)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (11)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (6)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (9)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.10)

Batting Average:  Emmanuel Rivera (.348)

Hits:  Corbin Carroll (71)

Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (14)

RBI:  Lourdes Gurriel (39)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (19)

Wins:  Merrill Kelly (8)

Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)

ERA:  Austin Adams (1.42)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)