Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/14/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 13, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 14, 2023
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ 
Where to Watch:  BSAZ


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +105, D-Backs -125; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +105, D-Backs -125; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +105, D-Backs -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  32-34 (3rd place, NL East)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  41-25 (1st place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  8-2 last 10



Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Phillies are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-34 record overall and have a road record of 13-23. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the LA Dodgers.

The Diamondbacks are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-25 record overall and have a home record of 21-14. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .770 OPS. Zach Davies is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Merrill Kelly is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-3 with a 2.92 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6.1 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.


Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have been really hot to start the season with one of the best offenses in the MLB right now and they are also leading the NL West with the best record. They have been really good at home this season and are rolling into this series on a big win streak too. The Phillies have also been really hot lately as they were on a win streak before losing to the D-Backs on Monday night but the Phillies haven't really had a good season with their losing record and they have been terrible in their road games as a lot of their recent wins came at home. The Phillies also have Suarez on the mound here and he hasn't made many starts this year due to injury and even though he is coming off a good start in his last, he has been really up and down this season. The D-Backs have Kelly starting here and he has been great this season as he leads the starting rotation in wins and the team has had a ton of success with him on the mound too. He will continue to get plenty of run support as he has all year with that hot offense backing him up and they can take advantage of the Phillies here with their recent road troubles this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Phillies Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 14, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 5 Phillies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Philadelphia Phillies: 13-23 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 4-14 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 10-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. 9-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-25 (+19.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 22-8 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 7-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. MERRILL KELLY is 12-4 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Late June - Back. D. Hall (1B) Late June - Thumb. C. Pache (LF) Late June - Knee. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Sulser (RP) Late June - Shoulder.M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Zero intent to hit him on both. I didn't think I missed that far inside for that type of reaction.” - Matt Strahm on hitting Corbin Carroll with a pitch in their loss against the Diamondbacks in their game on Monday.


“This team is unfazed, we’re just going to keep playing. It’s they’re a bunch of black labs running around chasing frisbees on the beach.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Trea Turner (R) SS
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryce Harper (L) DH
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Alec Bohm (R) 1B
Josh Harrison (R) 2B
Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B
Dalton Guthrie (R) CF

Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Evan Longoria (R) DH
Pavin Smith (L) RF
Carson Kelly (R) C
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Jake McCarthy (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.360)
Hits:  Nick Castellanos (81)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (17)
RBI:  Alec Bohm (39)
Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (10)
Wins:  Taijuan Walker (6)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (9)
ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.10)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Emmanuel Rivera (.361)
Hits:  Corbin Carroll (70)
Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (13)
RBI:  Lourdes Gurriel (39)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (19)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (8)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Austin Adams (1.42)

Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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