Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/13/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 12, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 13, 2023
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ 
Where to Watch:  BSAZ


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -145, D-Backs +125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -145, D-Backs +125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -145, D-Backs +125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Philadelphia Phillies:  32-33 (3rd place, NL East)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  40-25 (1st place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  8-2 last 10



Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Phillies are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-33 record overall and have a road record of 13-22. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Matt Strahm is their starting pitcher on Monday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-4 with a 3.91 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 1 hit through 7.1 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Diamondbacks are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-25 record overall and have a home record of 20-14. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .766 OPS. Tommy Henry is their starting pitcher on Monday while Zach Davies is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 4.68 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6.2 innings played against the Washington Nationals.


Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks are off to a really hot start this season as they are leading the NL West at the moment and have one of the best offenses in the league. They have been on a roll lately coming into this series on a win streak and they have been a really good team at home all year too. The Phillies have also been hot lately after a long homestand but now they are going on the road where they haven't been nearly as good this season. Wheeler is on the mound for them here and he hasn't been bad in his starts lately but he hasn't been as good in his road starts and the Diamondbacks have a very strong offense here that has been putting up runs all weekend. They also have Davies as their starter here and he has been good in his starts lately too. Davies will pitch a lot better at home here while the Phillies will continue to struggle in their road games like they have been doing all season. The D-Backs have also been a huge money machine as an underdog this season so there is too much value in the home dog here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Phillies Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 13, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 6 Phillies 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Philadelphia Phillies: 13-22 (-9.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 17-24 (-12.9 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 10-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. ZACK WHEELER is 8-4 UNDER in June games.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 40-25 (+18.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-16 (+19.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 7-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. ZACH DAVIES is 17-9 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Late June - Back. D. Hall (1B) Late June - Thumb. C. Pache (LF) Late June - Knee. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Kelly (C) Late June - Forearm. C. Sulser (RP) Late June - Shoulder. K. Lewis (RF) Late June - Illness. J. Mantiply (RP) Late June - Hamstring. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“I thought he was great.” - Rob Thomson on Taijuan Walker after his team’s win against the Dodgers in their game on Sunday.


“I can tell you I’m looking forward to every time he comes to the plate. He's just locked in right now.” - Torey Lovullo on Corbin Carroll after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Trea Turner (R) SS
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryce Harper (L) DH
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Kody Clemens (L) 1B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Evan Longoria (R) 3B
Pavin Smith (L) RF
Nick Ahmed (R) SS
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Jake McCarthy (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.360)
Hits:  Nick Castellanos (79)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (17)
RBI:  Nick Castellanos (38)
Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (9)
Wins:  Taijuan Walker (6)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (9)
ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.10)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Emmanuel Rivera (.356)
Hits:  Corbin Carroll (68)
Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (13)
RBI:  Lourdes Gurriel (39)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (19)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (8)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Austin Adams (1.50)

Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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