Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/01/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Feb 29, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, March 1, 2024
Venue:  Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Flyers -110, Capitals -110; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Flyers -110, Capitals -110; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Flyers -110, Capitals -110; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Philadelphia Flyers:  31-22-7 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)
Washington Capitals:  27-22-9 (5th place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Flyers:  6-3-1 last 10
Washington Capitals:  5-3-2 last 10



Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Preview and Analysis


The Flyers are entering this game with 69 points, a 31-22-7 record overall, and they are 16-9-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Tampa Bay Lightning in their last game, winning that one at home 6-2. Noah Cates, Travis Sanheim, Bobby Brink, Tyson Foerster, Sean Walker, and Cam York each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Morgan Frost led the team in assists with 2 while Garnet Hathaway and Nick Seeler each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Samuel Ersson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 22 shots with 20 saves and a .909 save percentage. Their offense has scored 183 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 177 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


The Capitals are entering this game with 63 points, a 27-22-9 record overall, and they are 15-9-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game, losing that one on the road 8-3. Hendrix Lapierre, Max Pacioretty, and Michael Sgarbossa each scored 1 goal for them in that game. John Carlson, Anthony Mantha, and Alexander Ovechkin each led the team in assists with 1 while Alexander Ovechkin led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Charlie Lindgren was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 8 goals on 31 shots with 23 saves and a .742 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 153 goals this season averaging 2.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 186 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.


Flyers vs Capitals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Flyers listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Flyers have looked good in their games this season with their 31-22-7 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the East and fighting for a Wild Card spot right now. They have looked a lot better in their road games this year too with their 16-9-5 road record. Meanwhile, the Capitals haven't looked good in their games this season with their 27-22-9 record overall which has them near the bottom of their division in the East right now and outside of a playoff spot. They haven't been great on home ice this season either with their 15-9-5 home record. The Capitals have been struggling all season to be a competitive team but they haven't been able to move much in the standings lately. They haven't looked great in their games lately either with their 5-3-2 record in their last 10 games and they are coming off another loss in their last one, a game they were blown out in by a mediocre team. The Flyers haven't been one of the strongest teams in the NHL this year but they have been consistently fighting for a playoff spot all season and they have been the hotter team lately too. They are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and have some momentum from a big win against the Lightning in their last one. The Flyers have not only been the more consistent team all season but they are also the hotter team coming into this one and the value is with them in this game considering how good they have looked in road games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Flyers to win this game. 

Flyers Capitals Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, March 1, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Flyers 5 Capitals 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Philadelphia Flyers: 31-29 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 17-13 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 12-6 UNDER vs. division opponents. 7-2 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 6-2 UNDER after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored.

Washington Capitals: 108-120 (-25.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 23-35 (-14.6 units) on the moneyline off a road loss. 13-4 UNDER revenging a road loss versus opponent. 33-14 UNDER after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Flyers:  J. Drysdale (D) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. T. Konecny (RW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. R. Ristolainen (D) Early March - Upper Body. C. Hart (G) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Ellis (D) out for season - Back.

Washington Capitals:  S. Milano (LW) Ques Fri - Illness. N. Jensen (D) Ques Fri - Lower Body. T. Oshie (RW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. N. Dowd (C) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. M. Fehervary (D) Early March - Lower Body. E. Kuznetsov (C) Out indefinitely - Personal. N. Backstrom (C) out for season - Hip.


Notable Quotes


“The biggest point I take out of this is we didn’t lose our concentration. It was an easy game to get caught up in all the delays and the lights. For two periods it was two teams not doing much, so to come out and play a good third period, it’s a good sign.” - John Tortorella after his team’s win against the Lightning in their game on Tuesday.


“Right from the start, you could see the talent through their lineup and through their roster and the plays they make. With the finish they had, it was on full display.” - Spencer Carbery after his team’s loss against the Red Wings in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Flyers
LW Farabee, Joel
C Laughton, Scott
RW Foerster, Tyson
LD York, Cam
RD Sanheim, Travis
G Ersson, Samuel

Washington Capitals
LW Ovechkin, Alex
C Lapierre, Hendrix
RW Wilson, Tom
LD Sandin, Rasmus
RD Carlson, John
G Lindgren, Charlie

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Flyers
Points: T. Konecny (54)
Goals: T. Konecny (27)
Assists: T. Sanheim (28)
GAA: S. Ersson (2.55)

Washington Capitals
Points: A. Ovechkin (43)
Goals: D. Strome (21)
Assists: J. Carlson (30)
GAA: C. Lindgren (2.85)

Coaches:
Philadelphia Flyers: John Tortorella (2nd season)
Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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