Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/15/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Feb 14, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 15, 2024
Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Flyers +145, Leafs -175; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Flyers +145, Leafs -175; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Flyers +145, Leafs -175; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Philadelphia Flyers:  29-19-6 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)
Toronto Maple Leafs:  27-16-8 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Flyers:  5-5-0 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs:  6-4-0 last 10



Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview and Analysis


The Flyers are entering this game with 64 points, a 29-19-6 record overall, and they are 15-7-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Arizona Coyotes in their last game, winning that one at home 5-3. Travis Konecny, Scott Laughton, Jamie Drysdale, Morgan Frost, and Owen Tippett each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Travis Konecny led the team in assists with 2 while Travis Konecny, Morgan Frost, and Owen Tippett each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Samuel Ersson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 23 shots with 20 saves and a .870 save percentage. Their offense has scored 161 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 155 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 62 points, a 27-16-8 record overall, and they are 13-10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the St Louis Blues in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Bobby McMann led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hat trick while William Nylander scored 1 goal for them in that game. Simon Benoit, T. J. Brodie, Mark Giordano, Noah Gregor, and David Kämpf each led the team in assists with 1 while Bobby McMann led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 15 shots with 14 saves and a .933 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 180 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 163 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.


Flyers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Flyers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Flyers have looked good in their games this season with their 29-19-6 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot right now. They have some momentum on their side here with a win in their last game and they have also looked better in their road games this year with their 15-7-4 road record. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 27-16-8 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the East and fighting for a Wild Card spot right now. The Leafs, just like the Flyers, have been a better road team this season and just haven't looked as good on home ice with their 13-10-2 home record. The Leafs are also missing a lot of players from their lineup with injuries and suspensions right now. The Leafs haven't looked any better than the Flyers have lately with the Flyers being 5-5-0 in their last 10 while the Leafs are 6-4-0. The value is with the Flyers in this game considering how good they have been in their road games this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Flyers to win this game and on the puckline. 

Flyers Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, February 15, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Flyers 4 Leafs 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Philadelphia Flyers: 29-25 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-9 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 17-11 (+9.7 units) on the moneyline after a game where they covered the spread. 23-17 OVER after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals. 10-4 OVER after a 3 game unbeaten streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 26-24 (-10.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 12-12 (-8 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 38-34 (-25.7 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 8-2 OVER off a home win. 31-16 OVER off a home win scoring 4 or more goals. 14-7 OVER after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Flyers:  R. Ristolainen (D) Early March - Upper Body. T. Foerster (RW) Late Feb - Lower Body. C. Hart (G) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Ellis (D) out for season - Back.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  C. Jarnkrok (C) Late Feb - Hand. J. Tavares (C) Ques Thurs - Illness. M. Marner (RW) Ques Thurs - Illness. M. Jones (G) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed. M. Rielly (D) Elig Feb 22 - Suspension. C. Timmins (D) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.


Notable Quotes


“We just kept on playing and stayed with it. Good for them.” - John Tortorella after his team’s win against the Coyotes in their game on Monday.


“We needed guys to step up in different ways. We had a lot of great efforts.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Blues in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Flyers
LW Tippett, Owen
C Couturier, Sean
RW Konecny, Travis
LD York, Cam
RD Sanheim, Travis
G Ersson, Samuel

Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Knies, Matthew
C Matthews, Auston
RW Nylander, William
LD Brodie, TJ
RD Liljegren, Timothy
G Samsonov, Ilya

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Flyers
Points: T. Konecny (49)
Goals: T. Konecny (25)
Assists: T. Sanheim (25)
GAA: S. Ersson (2.49)

Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: W. Nylander (66)
Goals: A. Matthews (42)
Assists: W. Nylander (40)
GAA: M. Jones (2.73)

Coaches:
Philadelphia Flyers: John Tortorella (2nd season)
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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