Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/25/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Sep 21, 2023
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Monday, September 25, 2023
Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Eagles -4.5, Buccaneers +4.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Eagles -5, Buccaneers +5; Over/Under:  46 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Eagles -4.5, Buccaneers +4.5; Over/Under:  46 points

Season Record

Philadelphia Eagles:  2-0 (2nd place, NFC East)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  2-0 (3rd place, NFC South)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Eagles:  won their last game at home against the Minnesota Vikings 34-28.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 27-17.


Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis


The Eagles are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 34-28. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 18/23 passes for 193 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 175 and 1 TD. DeVonta Smith led the receivers with 131 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Zach Cunningham led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jordan Davis and Jordan Davis each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
 
 
 
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 27-17. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 26/34 passes for 317 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 1 TD. Mike Evans led the receivers with 171 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Jamel Dean led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Joe Tryon-Shoyinka led the defense in sacks with 1. Christian Izien and Shaquil Barrett each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles haven't looked great in their 2 games this season but they are still 2-0 and finding ways to win with the weapons they have. Their defense isn't as good as it was last season but they still have a ton of talent on offense and they are led by a good QB with a great mindset. They are only going to get better as the season goes on and now that they have 2 games under their belt, they will have a much better effort in this game. The Bucs have also started their season 2-0 with an upset win against the Vikings and then beat out the Bears at home in their last game, but they don't have the weapons on offense that the Eagles and the Eagles defense is also a lot better. Baker Mayfield has been playing well in this Bucs offense but he hasn't been that efficient with gaining yards or scoring points and that will come back to bite him here in a game where he is going to need points to win against this offense. The Eagles have a lot more firepower here and they will use this game to get back on the roll they were on last year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game. 

Eagles Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, September 25, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Eagles 31 Buccaneers 21.
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NFL Betting Trends


Philadelphia Eagles: 30-21 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 29-20 ATS when playing on Monday night. 5-1 UNDER against NFC South division opponents. 23-13 UNDER after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points. 48-20 UNDER after playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 15-23 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 4-10 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 0-6 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games. 19-10 UNDER against conference opponents. 6-1 UNDER against NFC East division opponents. 10-5 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Eagles:  A. Maddox (CB) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. K. Gainwell (RB) Ques Mon - Ribs. R. Blankenship (S) Ques Mon - Ribs. J. Bradberry (CB) Ques Mon - Concussion. Q. Watkins (WR) Ques Mon - Hamstring. N. Dean (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Rodgers Sr. (DB) out for season - Suspension. R. Johnson (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. S. Bradley (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  C. Edmonds (RB) Early Nov - Knee. K. Vaughn (RB) Ques Mon - Personal. C. Kancey (DL) Ques Mon - Calf. C. Davis III (CB) Ques Mon - Toe. S. Dennis (LB) Ques Mon - Hamstring. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“We're a work in progress. We strive for progress, not perfection. We want to grow and find our identity." - Jalen Hurts after their win against the Vikings in their last game. 


“He’s savvy. He has a good feel for the game and what’s around him. And the awareness he has around him helps him out a great deal. He’s a very smart player.” - Todd Bowles on Baker Mayfield after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Eagles
WR Smith, DeVonta 
WR Brown, A.J. 
WR Watkins, Quez  
TE Goedert, Dallas 
QB Hurts, Jalen 
RB Gainwell, Kenneth 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR EVANS, MIKE 
WR Godwin, Chris 
WR Palmer, Trey
TE Otton, Cade 
QB Mayfield, Baker 
RB White, Rachaad

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (363)
Rushing: D. Swift (178)
Receiving: D. Smith (178)
Touchdowns: D. Smith (2)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (490)
Rushing: R. White (112)
Receiving: M. Evans (237)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (2)

Coaches:
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (3rd season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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