Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/15/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 09, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, January 15, 2024
Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL 
Where to Watch:  ESPN, ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Eagles -3, Buccaneers +3; Over/Under:  44 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Eagles -2.5, Buccaneers +2.5; Over/Under:  44 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Eagles -2.5, Buccaneers +2.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Season Record

Philadelphia Eagles:  11-6 (2nd place, NFC East)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  9-8 (1st place, NFC South)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia Eagles:  lost their last game on the road against the New York Giants 27-10.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  won their last game on the road against the Carolina Panthers 9-0.


Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis


The Eagles are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Giants 27-10. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 7/16 passes for 55 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Marcus Mariota who completed 13/20 passes for 148 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT. Kenneth Gainwell led the team in rushing yards with 62. Quez Watkins led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Kevin Byard led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Kelee Ringo and Marlon Tuipulotu each led the defense in sacks with 1. Reed Blankenship came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 9-8 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 9-0. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 137 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 75. Chris Godwin led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Lavonte David led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Antoine Winfield Jr, YaYa Diaby, and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles have looked good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall which has them in a Wild Card spot but a good majority of those wins came in the 1st half of the season. They haven't looked good at all in their games lately as they have been losing a ton of games which put them right out of the race for the NFC East, the Cowboys eventually winning the division. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have also looked good this season with their 9-8 record overall which won the NFC South. They have been a really up and down team that has overperformed all year with Baker Mayfield, but they haven't looked good in their games lately either. They were fortunate to squeak by the Panthers last week which clinched the division for them and even though he is not listed on the injury report, Baker Mayfield is just as banged up as Hurts with all of the injuries he has been playing through lately. The Eagles also beat the Bucs earlier this season in Tampa so this is a game that has already been played this year and as bad as the Eagles have been this season, they will bounce back now that playoffs have started since they still have a lot more talent than the Bucs on both sides of the ball. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game. 

Eagles Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, January 15, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Eagles 21 Buccaneers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Philadelphia Eagles: 10-5 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 31-21 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 12-4 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. 7-2 UNDER in road games. 6-1 UNDER against NFC South division opponents. 6-2 UNDER after a loss by 10 or more points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 18-26 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 5-10 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 5-9 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 11-6 UNDER in all games. 22-13 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. 38-21 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia Eagles:  J. Hurts (QB) day-to-day - Finger. A. Brown (WR) day-to-day - Knee. D. Swift (RB) day-to-day - Illness. D. Smith (WR) day-to-day - Leg. A. Okwuegbunam (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Slay (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Evans (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. N. Dean (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Rodgers Sr. (DB) out for season - Suspension. R. Johnson (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. S. Bradley (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  K. Britt (LB) day-to-day - Calf. R. Jarrett (WR) day-to-day - Quadricep. M. Greene (DL) day-to-day - Calf. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“It's about how you respond to it, and we’ve got to respond. This is what it is." - Jalen Hurts after their loss against the Giants in their last game. 


“There’s a lot of ways to skin a cat. The guys believed in each other. They never fed into the outside media. We wrote our own narrative. We worked hard, we practiced hard and they got it done.” - Todd Bowles after his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia Eagles
WR Brown, A.J. 
WR Smith, DeVonta 
WR Jones, Julio 
TE Goedert, Dallas 
QB Hurts, Jalen 
RB Swift, D'Andre

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Evans, Mike 
WR Godwin, Chris 
WR Palmer, Trey
TE Otton, Cade 
QB Mayfield, Baker 
RB White, Rachaad

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (3858)
Rushing: D. Swift (1049)
Receiving: A. Brown (1456)
Touchdowns: J. Hurts (15)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (4044)
Rushing: R. White (990)
Receiving: M. Evans (1255)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (13)

Coaches:
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (3rd season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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