Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 03, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, April 4, 2024
Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 
Where to Watch:  BSSUN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  76ers +2, Heat -2; Over/Under:  209.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  76ers +2, Heat -2; Over/Under:  209.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  76ers +2, Heat -2; Over/Under:  209.5 points

Season Record

Philadelphia 76ers:  41-35 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Miami Heat:  42-33 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia 76ers:  5-5 last 10
Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10


Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis


The 76ers are entering this game with a 41-35 record overall and they are 19-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Toronto Raptors and the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Kelly Oubre Jr. led the team in points in that game with 25 while Joel Embiid was next on the team with 24 points. Joel Embiid led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Cameron Payne led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 46.2% from the field, 46.7% from 3-point range, and 92% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.1 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 42-34 this season and their O/U record is 39-37.



The Heat are entering this game with a 42-33 record overall and they are 20-17 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Portland Trail Blazers, the Washington Wizards, and the New York Knicks in their last game. Terry Rozier led the team in points in that game with 34 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 17 points. Jimmy Butler and Nikola Jović each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.6% from the field, 44.7% from 3-point range, and 95.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.4 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 36-37-2 this season and their O/U record is 29-46.


76ers vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the 76ers listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The 76ers have looked good in their games this season with their 41-35 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They haven't looked great in their road games this year with their 19-19 road record, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately and now they have Joel Embiid returning to their lineup too. Meanwhile, the Heat have also looked good in their games this season with their 42-33 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They have looked good on their home court with their 20-17 home record this season, but they haven't been at their best in those games with a better road record this season. Both of these teams are right on the cusp of true playoff spots as the 76ers trail right behind the Heat in the standings, and even though the Heat have been the hotter team coming into this one, the 76ers looked a lot better in their last game with Embiid back. The Heat are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have won 3 games in a row now, but they haven't played any tough teams in those games either. The 76ers have some momentum now with 2 wins in a row and they just pulled off a win against one of the best teams in the West as they beat the Thunder in Embiid's return. The 76ers were once near the top of the East and have slipped down the standings without Embiid but now that he is back in the lineup, the 76ers will be looking to finish the season strong on a run. The best way to place a bet here is on the 76ers to cover the spread in this game. 

76ers Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 4, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is 76ers 111 Heat 104.
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NBA Betting Trends


Philadelphia 76ers: 41-33 ATS in all games. 8-3 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 12-7 UNDER as a road underdog. 18-5 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. 

Miami Heat: 1-8 ATS as a home underdog. 4-11 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 8-3 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 12-4 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 46-29 UNDER in all games.

Key Injuries


Philadelphia 76ers:  M. Bamba (C) Ques Thurs - Illness. T. Maxey (PG) Ques Thurs - Hip. R. Covington (SF) Mid April - Knee. D. Melton (PG) Mid April - Back.

Miami Heat:  T. Herro (SG) Mid April - Knee. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“I think they’ve got a lot of stuff. They’ve got an incredible superstar who’s as good as anybody in the league. They’ve got some other emerging superstars that are very good players. They play a system that they’re all in tune with.” - Nick Nurse after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in their game on Tuesday.


“More than anything, this was an introduction to our new players, especially Terry, to Heat-Knicks. This is what these games are ... two teams that are very committed to doing tough things, especially on the defensive end.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia 76ers
PG Tyrese Maxey
SG Kyle Lowry 
SF Kelly Oubre Jr.
PF Tobias Harris
C Joel Embiid

Miami Heat
PG Terry Rozier
SG Duncan Robinson
SF Jimmy Butler
PF Nikola Jovic
C Bam Adebayo

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia 76ers
PPG: J. Embiid (35)
APG: T. Maxey (6.2)
Reb/G: J. Embiid (11.1)

Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21)
APG: T. Rozier (5.7)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.6)

Coaches:
Philadelphia 76ers: Nick Nurse (1st season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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