Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/26/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 26, 2024

Venue:  Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  PSU -6.5, Wisconsin +6.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  PSU -6.5, Wisconsin +6.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  PSU -6.5, Wisconsin +6.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Penn State Nittany Lions:  6-0 (3-0) (3rd place, Big Ten)

Wisconsin Badgers:  5-2 (3-1) (5th place, Big Ten)

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Penn State Nittany Lions:  won their last game on the road against the USC Trojans 33-30 in overtime. 

Wisconsin Badgers:  won their last game on the road against the Northwestern Wildcats 23-3.

Penn State is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against USC 33-30 in OT. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 30/43 passes for 391 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Kaytron Allen led the team in rushing yards with 56 and 1 TD. Tyler Warren led the receivers with 224 receiving yards on 17 receptions and 1 TD. Kobe King led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Abdul Carter led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaylen Reed came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Wisconsin is entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Northwestern 23-3. Braedyn Locke was the starting QB and he completed 14/24 passes for 160 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Tawee Walker led the team in rushing yards with 126. Will Pauling led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jaheim Thomas led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while John Pius led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Penn State listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten and ranked as one of the best teams in the nation. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has looked good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall and their 3-1 conference record. They were struggling to start the season, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately since making a change at QB. They are coming off a win against Northwestern in their last one, but they didn't look as good in that win as they only beat them 23-3, and Northwestern has been a struggling team all season. Penn State has already had a few tests this season like their win over Illinois and they are coming off a good win against USC in their last one. They needed OT to beat USC, but that game was also on the road on the other side of the country for them and they still got the job done. Now they are coming out of their bye week too so they have had extra time to prepare for this game and they are going to be motivated since there are only 2 other undefeated Big Ten teams left and Ohio State isn't one of them. This could be the year for Penn State to finally go to the Big Ten Championship so they are going to bring their best effort for this game coming out of the bye. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game. 

Penn State Wisconsin Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 26, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Penn State 31 Wisconsin 13.

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Penn State Nittany Lions: 20-11 ATS in all lined games. 19-8 ATS as a favorite. 10-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 4-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 8-3 OVER in road lined games. 5-1 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 5-1 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more.

Wisconsin Badgers: 4-8 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 2-7 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 1-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less. 6-3 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 5-0 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 200  rushing yards/game or more. 7-2 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  J. Smolik (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Flowers (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Cross (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Black (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Winston (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wylie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Spencer (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Fisher (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Saunders (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wallace (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. A. Rappleyea (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Wisconsin Badgers:  J. Seagreaves (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Dalloul (OLB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Mellusi (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Brown (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Booker (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Nelson (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Green (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Latu (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Henry (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Van Dyke (QB) Out - Leg. J. Griffin (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Thompson (DL) Out - Upper Body.

“I think the word ‘resilient’ was probably the best word to define our team today. And it’s good to be able to go in and say, ‘Hey guys, we’re a second-half team.’ But I’d prefer not to say that anymore. I’d prefer to be a four-quarter team, a start-fast team, all of it.” - James Franklin after his team’s win against USC in their last game. 

“You see it in all three phases. You see this complementary ball, you see this opportunistic team. That happens when you have poise and you have some confidence.” - Luke Fickell after his team’s win against NW in their last game. 

WR Wallace III, Harrison 

WR Fleming, Julian 

WR Clifford, Liam

TE Warren, Tyler 

QB Allar, Drew 

RB Singleton, Nicholas

WR Williams, C.J.

WR Anthony II, Vinny 

WR Pauling, Will 

TE Nowakowski, Riley

QB Locke, Braedyn

RB Walker, Tawee 

Passing: D. Allar (1492)

Rushing: N. Singleton (434)

Receiving: T. Warren (513)

Touchdowns: N. Singleton (6)

Passing: B. Locke (1064)

Rushing: T. Walker (565)

Receiving: V. Anthony (314)

Touchdowns: T. Walker (9)

Coaches:

Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (11th season)

Wisconsin Badgers: Luke Fickell (3rd season)