Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/11/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Mar 11, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, March 11, 2022
Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  PSU +9, Purdue -9; Over/Under:  138.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  PSU +9, Purdue -9; Over/Under:  138.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  PSU +9, Purdue -9; Over/Under:  138.5 points
 

Season Record

Penn State Nittany Lions:  15-16 (10th place, Big Ten)
Purdue Boilermakers:  25-6 (3rd place, Big Ten)
 
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Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Penn State Nittany Lions:  2-3 last 5
Purdue Boilermakers:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Penn State Nittany Lions Analysis

PSU is coming into this game with a 15-16 record overall and they are 4-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 7-13 this season against conference opponents. Their last loss was against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights but they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last game. Sam Sessoms off the bench led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jalen Pickett was next on the team with 16 points. Pickett led the team in assists in that game with 5 while John Harrar led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46.3% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 64.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.8 PPG against them. PSU has an ATS record of 17-12 this season and their O/U record is 10-19.
 
 

Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

Purdue is coming into this game with a 25-6 record overall and they are 4-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 14-6 against conference opponents this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the Michigan State Spartans and the Wisconsin Badgers while their win came against the Indiana Hoosiers in their last game. Eric Hunter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 17 while Sasha Stefanovic was next on the team with 15 points. Hunter Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 39.7% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-17-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-14.
 

 

Penn State vs Purdue Prediction

PSU is coming into this game as a 9 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. PSU finished their season off with 3 straight losses but their last 2 losses of the season were both within 5 points and they did not play bad in those games. They have been playing much better now though as they have won their last 2 games and they have even kicked out the higher seeded OSU in their last game. PSU is really heating up right now and they are going up against a Purdue side that has not been playing well in their recent games. Purdue has lost 2 of their last 3 games and they are coming off of a win in their last game but that win came at home to Indiana, a team that has really struggled in the Big Ten this season, and they were only able to win that game by 2 points. Purdue has not been playing great and with PSU gaining a lot of steam now, this should be a closer game. Purdue will likely still win this game but not by double digits with the way they have been playing recently.
 
Penn State Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 11, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 68 PSU 65.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Penn State Nittany Lions: 18-12 ATS in all games. 26-16 ATS as an underdog. 19-11 UNDER in all games.
Purdue Boilermakers: 13-18 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 12-17 ATS as a favorite. 10-3 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Penn State Nittany Lions:  None.
Purdue Boilermakers:  B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We don't want to go home, that's the main thing." - Micah Shrewsberry on his team’s win against OSU in the last round.
 
 
"All three made big plays. Trevion, Eric and Sasha all really came through for us." - Matt Painter on his team’s win against Indiana in their last game of the season.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Penn State Nittany Lions
M. Dread 
J. Harrar 
D. Johnson 
Seth Lundy 
J. Pickett 
 
Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey 
C. Furst 
J. Ivey 
Sasha Stefanovic 
I. Thompson
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Penn State Nittany Lions
PPG: J. Pickett (12.8)
APG: J. Pickett (4.3)
Reb/G: J. Harrar (10.3)
 
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: J. Ivey (17.2)
APG: S. Stefanovic (3.4)
Reb/G:  Z. Edey (7.6)
 
Coaches:
Penn State Nittany Lions: Micah Shrewsberry (1st season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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