Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/13/2024

Game Time: 2:15 pm ET, Saturday, January 13, 2024

Venue:  Mackey Complex, West Lafayette, IN

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  PSU +21, Purdue -21; Over/Under:  155 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  PSU +21, Purdue -21; Over/Under:  155 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  PSU +21, Purdue -21; Over/Under:  155 points

Penn State Nittany Lions:  8-8 (2-3) (10th place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  14-2 (3-2) (5th place, Big Ten)

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Penn State Nittany Lions:  3-2  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

Penn State is entering this game with an 8-8 record overall, a 2-3 record in conference games, and they are 0-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game. Kanye Clary led the team in points per game in that game with 25 while Nick Kern was next on the team with 14. Adrian Baldwin Jr. led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Qudus Wahab led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 46.3% from the field, 17.6% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.2 PPG against them. Penn State has an ATS record of 6-10 this season and their O/U record is 9-6-1.

Purdue is entering this game with a 14-2 record overall, a 3-2 conference record, and they are 8-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last game. Mason Gillis led the team in points in that game with 16 while Zach Edey was next on the team with 15. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 42.1% from the field, 39.4% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 9-5-2 this season and their O/U record is 11-5.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 21 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked great in their games this season with their 14-2 record overall which has them ranked as the best team in the country right now. They are only 3-2 in their conference games as they have struggled against some better Big Ten opponents, but they have looked really good in their home games all year with their 8-0 home record. Meanwhile, Penn State hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 8-8 record overall and they are 2-3 in their conference games too. They have already struggled more against Big Ten opponents but they are also 0-2 in their road games this season. They just lost their last game at home to a good Northwestern team and now they are on the road where they haven't looked as good this season. Purdue is also one of the best teams in the country and they are also coming off a loss in their last game as they lost on the road to Nebraska so they will be looking to bounce back in a big way now that they are back on their home court. Penn State doesn't have the talent to compete with some of these stronger Big Ten teams this season and they are getting Purdue in the worst spot here off a loss in their last game. Purdue will be looking to take advantage of how bad PSU has been on the road this season and they will blow them out on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Penn State Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 13, 2024 (2:15 pm ET start time) is Purdue 92 Penn State 56.

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Penn State Nittany Lions: 28-14 ATS as an underdog. 33-18 ATS against conference opponents. 13-4 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 23-13 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 5-1 OVER as an underdog. 5-1 OVER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher. 

Purdue Boilermakers: 17-31 ATS against conference opponents. 10-23 ATS after 3 straight games forcing the opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers. 7-17 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 11-5 OVER in all games. 10-5 OVER as a favorite. 14-7 OVER after a combined score of 155 points or more.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  None.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

“Everybody has responsibility when you're in a game. Everybody. Coaches, people that are running the event, the referees. Everybody has a job to do. So do your job. That's all I'm asking. It doesn't have to be perfect. We're all human, but obvious is obvious. I don't have many technicals in my 28 years. I really don't.” - Mike Rhoades after his team’s loss against Northwestern in their last game on Wednesday.

“That was the difference in the game. We had a couple good fights there in the second half to where pulled within single digits and one time we got it to two, then they pushed it right back to double digits.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Nebraska in their last game on Tuesday. 

A. Baldwin 

K. Clary 

Z. Hicks 

P. Johnson 

Q. Wahab

Z. Edey 

L. Jones 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: K. Clary (18.8)

APG: A. Baldwin Jr. (4.4)

Reb/G: Q. Wahab (8.6)

PPG: Z. Edey (21.8)

APG: B. Smith (6.7)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (10.4)

Coaches:

Penn State Nittany Lions: Mike Rhoades (1st season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)