Penn State Nittany Lions vs Ohio State Buckeyes Predictions Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/30/2021

by James Q

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Ohio State Buckeyes Picks Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/30/2021

 
Game Time: 7:30 ET, Saturday, October 30th, 2021
Venue: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, Ohio
Where to Watch: ABC
 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings Sportsbook:  Spread: Ohio State -18.5; Over/Under: 59.5 points
Circa:  Spread: Ohio State -18; Over/Under:  60 points
VegasInsider:  Spread:  Ohio State -18.5; Over/Under: 60 points
 

Season Record

Penn State: 2-2 conf, 5-2 overall (Big Ten)
Ohio State 4-0 conf, 6-1 overall (Big Ten)

This is a matchup between Big Ten Conference opponents that is approaching silly bet levels. The Ohio State odds are great, but 18 POINTS great?!  Against Penn State? Penn State's games have hit the Over twice in 7 games… for Ohio State to cover 18 they would need record setting yards of total offense against the Lions… They won’t get it.  I refuse to make an Ohio State Prediction where they beat Penn State’s defense by 18. We can wait for the ESPN highlights and next week’s rankings to laugh at PSU… but OSU won’t win by 18!
 
AAA Sports is 9-1 overall the L2 days! They went 7-1 in College Football from Thurs-Sat! There was no MLB play last night, but AAA did win with the Over in Game 1 of the ALCS! Coming off a Saturday where they went 5-1 overall, AAA is ALL OVER tonight's Game 2 between the Dodgers and Braves!  Get AAA Sports’ pick!!  It's available right now at the Shop Picks page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers. All your NCAA Football needs for the entire college football season!

 

Penn State vs Ohio State Preview and Analysis

RECENT FORM
Penn State is a lousy 5-2.  An awful, heart wrenching 5-2… They have lost two games to #9 Iowa Hawkeyes 23-20 (in overtime) and the Illinois Fighting Illini 20-18.  So, let's review:  Penn State has lost 2 games by a total combined 5 points… and they should hang their heads in shame and abandon the pride of Happy Valley for the shroud of illegitimacy.  Let’s forget that they beat #18 ranked Auburn 28-20. Let’s forget that they steamrolled the Indiana Hoosiers and Villanova and Wisconsin Badgers blah blah… remember if they had 6 more points they would be in the top 3.
 
Ohio State is the boss! They beat Tulsa, Rutgers, Akron, Maryland, and Minnesota!!!! … oh and the one ranked team that they played they lost to #7 Oregon Ducks 35 - 28.  That’s so great.  They have a bunch of super easy wins that Penn State could have, but they lost to a team that couldn’t beat the teams that Penn State lost to…. Pull all your money out of the bank and drop it on Penn State. 18 points should offend your dead great grandmother on every day, not just Dia De Los Muertos!! 

 

Offensive Analysis


Ohio State has the #1 ranked offense in the FBS.  They have scored 41 touchdowns on 559.7 yards per game.  They have weapons all over the field.  Receptions are no problem, rushing is no problem… Akron and Rutgers didn’t know what hit them!

Penn State has the 86th ranked offense in the FBS.  They have only scored 21 touchdowns on only 372.4 yards per game. They should have avoided Wisconsin, Auburn, Illinois, if they wanted higher numbers.  BTW all those teams would beat Rutgers, Tulsa, Akron, and Maryland.

Defensive Analysis

Ohio State is ranked 48th in the FBS on defense.  They have allowed 17 touchdowns and 350.3 yards per game.  They haven’t played enough teams of high caliber to know how these numbers hold up in every contest, but they are good.

Penn State is ranked 26th in the FBS on defense.  The team that is supposed to lose by 18 POINTS is ranked 22 spots higher than the team they are playing?... Ohio State has 9 interceptions on the season AND Penn State has 9 interceptions on the season

Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, October 30th is…  Ohio State 35 - Penn State  28


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NCAAF Betting Trends

Penn State is 1-7 ATs after a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Ohio State is 17-9 ATS as a favorite the last 3 seasons.. (not great considering they were 25-1 SU… they didn’t cover big matchups)
Ohio State is 14-6 ATS against conference opponents the last 3 seasons.



Key Injuries

Penn State:  DE Hakeem Beamon (undisclosed) Quest ** CB Keaton Ellis (undisclosed) Quest * Ol Sak Wormley (undisclosed) Quest

Ohio State: 16 players are listed as Questionable against Penn State and the reason is undisclosed…. Receivers. Cornerbacks, safeties, linebackers, defensive line, offensive line, running backs… so either we are experiencing lame gamesmanship or Ohio State is having a massive Covid-19 outbreak…. There is even a kicker on the list!



Starting Lineups

Penn State: QB Sean Clifford, RB Noah Cain Jr, TE Brenton Strange, Wr Jahan Dotson, WR Parker Washington, WR KeAndre Lambert-Smith, LT Rasheed Walker, LG Eric Wilson, C Mike Miranda, RG Juice Scruggs, RT Caedan Wallace

Ohio State: QB C.J Stroud, RB TreVeyon Henderson, TE Jeremy Ruckert. WR Garrett Wilson, WR Chris Olave, WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, LT Nicholas Petit-Frere. LG Thayer Munford, OC Luke Wypler, RG Paris Johnson Jr, RT Dawand Jones 

Coaches

Penn State: James Franklin.  He has changed agents… apparently the last one was slow on the uptake to get Mr. Franklin the USC job.  The new agent will work overtime to get James Franklin either far away from Penn State for a boatload of money… or deeply entrenched in Penn State for a bigger boatload of money!  Hope he remembers there is a game Saturday.

Ohio State:  Ryan Day… Who have you beaten Ryan?. He is 29-3 as the Buckeyes head coach and makes 4.5 million dollars a year… this year he has driven his Ferrari over the miniature golf course that is Tulsa, Akron, Rutgers, Maryland, and Minnesota.

 

Weather Forecast

Showers, high of 57*.  Humidity 85% because of all the water in the air…. Wind at 9 mph.



James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

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