Penn State Nittany Lions vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/23/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 23, 2024

Venue:  Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  PSU -11.5, Minnesota +11.5; Over/Under:  45 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  PSU -11.5, Minnesota +11.5; Over/Under:  45 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  PSU -11.5, Minnesota +11.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Penn State Nittany Lions:  9-1 (6-1) (4th place, Big Ten)

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  6-4 (4-3) (7th place, Big Ten)

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Penn State Nittany Lions:  won their last game on the road against the Purdue Boilermakers 49-10.

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  lost their last game on the road against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 26-19.

Penn State is entering this game with a 9-1 record overall and they have a 6-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Purdue 49-10. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 17/19 passes for 247 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tyler Warren led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 1 TD. Tyler Warren led the receivers with 127 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Abdul Carter led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Dani Dennis-Sutton, Coziah Izzard, and Amin Vanover each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Minnesota is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 4-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Rutgers 26-19. Max Brosmer was the starting QB and he completed 27/45 passes for 262 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Darius Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 28 and 1 TD. Jameson Geers led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Cody Lindenberg led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Deven Eastern and Anthony Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ethan Robinson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Penn State listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-1 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. Their 1 loss this season was against Ohio State so they don't really have a chance to make the Big Ten Championship, but they are still fighting for a playoff berth in this new format. Meanwhile, Minnesota has looked good in their games this season with their 6-4 record overall and their 4-3 conference record which has them in the middle of the Big Ten. They have been good this season, but they haven't been great and they are definitely not a playoff team like Penn State. Minnesota is also coming off a bad loss on the road to Rutgers last week in a game they couldn't muster up a ton of offense in. The only game Penn State struggled in lately was their loss to Ohio State, but Ohio State is one of the best teams in the nation too. Penn State has also been rolling since that loss, coming off another big win in their last one as they beat Purdue 49-10. Penn State has the offense to put up a ton of points in this game as they will be looking to sprint to the finish line with playoffs around the corner now and Minnesota just struggled to move the ball against Rutgers last week, this is a much better Penn State defense. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game. 

Penn State Minnesota Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 23, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Penn State 35 Minnesota 13.

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Penn State Nittany Lions: 23-12 ATS in all lined games. 10-1 ATS as a road favorite. 12-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 5-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 7-3 UNDER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 6-2 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival. 8-3 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less.

Minnesota Golden Gophers: 1-4 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 3-6 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 2-5 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 13-7 UNDER in home lined games. 5-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 

Penn State Nittany Lions:  J. Spencer (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wylie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Saunders (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wallace (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. A. Rappleyea (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Winston (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Fisher (DE) Out - Undisclosed. J. Cross (TE) Out - Undisclosed. E. Black (WR) Out - Undisclosed.

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  T. Cooper (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Green (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Jones (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Q. Redding (WR) Out - Undisclosed. P. Walsh (TE) Questionable - Leg. J. Williams (OL) Out - Undisclosed. R. Sunram (DL) Out - Undisclosed. S. Macy (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Wright (RB) Out - Undisclosed. S. Seidl (DB) Out - Undisclosed.

“I thought that was the best game we played in terms of four quarters, offense, defense and special teams. We were able to play 68 players in the game, which is going to be good for experience standpoint. Defensively, w play dominant third quarter, 10 plays for 35 yards. That has to do with our offense sustain drives. Tyler Warren continues to make plays in a ton of different ways. I think he's in the conversations for one of the best players in all of college football, let alone the tight end position.” - James Franklin after his team’s win against Purdue in their last game.

“We didn't do enough things to win the football game. When you are in the Big Ten, you have to bring it every week. You never know. Sometimes it is just not your day.” - P.J. Fleck after his team’s loss against Rutgers in their last game. 

WR Wallace III, Harrison 

WR Fleming, Julian 

WR Clifford, Liam

TE Warren, Tyler 

QB Allar, Drew 

RB Singleton, Nicholas

WR Jackson, Daniel 

WR Brockington, Le'Meke 

WR Spencer, Elijah

TE Kallerup, Nick

QB Brosmer, Max 

RB Taylor, Darius 

Passing: D. Allar (2253)

Rushing: K. Allen (654)

Receiving: T. Warren (808)

Touchdowns: N. Singleton (8)

Passing: M. Brosmer (2251)

Rushing: D. Taylor (672)

Receiving: D. Jackson (712)

Touchdowns: D. Taylor (11)

Coaches:

Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (11th season)

Minnesota Golden Gophers: P.J. Fleck (8th season)