Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 22, 2025
Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Senators +154, Leafs -185; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Senators +150, Leafs -180; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Senators +155, Leafs -190; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Season Record
Ottawa Senators: 45-30-7 (4th place, Atlantic Division)
Toronto Maple Leafs: 52-26-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
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Recent Form
Ottawa Senators: 6-3-1 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs: 9-1-0 last 10
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview and Analysis
The Senators are entering the playoffs with 97 points, a 45-30-7 record overall, and they were 18-19-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-2. Drake Batherson and Ridly Greig each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Michael Amadio, Dylan Cozens, David Perron, and Shane Pinto each led the team in assists with 1 while Brady Tkachuk led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Linus Ullmark was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 24 shots with 18 saves and a .750 save percentage. Their offense has scored 243 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.
The Maple Leafs are entering the playoffs with 108 points, a 52-26-4 record overall, and they were 27-13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Ottawa Senators in their last game, winning that one at home 6-2. Mitchell Marner, William Nylander, John Tavares, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Matthew Knies, and Morgan Rielly each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mitchell Marner and Auston Matthews each led the team in assists with 2 while Auston Matthews and John Tavares each led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Anthony Stolarz was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 33 shots with 31 saves and a .939 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 268 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 231 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.
Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Maple Leafs and the 1st Wild Card seeded Senators from the Atlantic Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. The Maple Leafs are leading this series 1-0 after game 1. The Maple Leafs took a 1-0 series lead with a 6-2 home win over the Senators in game 1. The Maple Leafs were one of the best teams in the East this season as they won their division for the 1st time in over a decade, and they showed why in that game 1. They weren't able to beat the Senators in the regular season this year, but they came out with a fire lit under them as they took a quick lead in the 1st period and never looked back, extending that lead more throughout the game. They scored 6 goals on 24 shots in that one and goaltending is going to be a very big factor in this series. Ullmark has been really good this season as he has been a big part of the Senators success, but a performance like that in game 1 is a good way to lose confidence which could have a negative impact on his play the rest of the series. Goaltending becomes one of the biggest strengths in the playoffs, and that is an area that the Maple Leafs have a big advantage with the way Stolarz has been playing all season. The Maple Leafs have also been a great home team this year while the Senators had a losing record in their road games, and the Maple Leafs can take advantage of that just like they did in game 1. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game and on the puckline.
Senators Maple Leafs Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, April 22, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Senators 0.
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NHL Betting Trends
Ottawa Senators: 121-126 (-15.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-51 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog. 16-32 (-19.3 units) on the moneyline off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more. 14-7 OVER after allowing 6 goals or more.
Toronto Maple Leafs: 71-53 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 42-30 (+5.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 24-13 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline in April games. 17-10 OVER after a blowout win by 4 goals or more.
Key Injuries
Ottawa Senators: H. Hodgson (RW) Day To Day - Lower-body.
Toronto Maple Leafs: M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Not the result we want, but it’s clear as day what the issue was. We took too many penalties, they scored on it and that’s the game. That’s on us. We need to be more disciplined.” - Brady Tkachuk after their loss against the Maple Leafs in game 1 of this series on Sunday.
“The power play has been rolling for a while. They’re doing a good job. For me, it’s about getting pucks to the net with numbers at the net. I can’t say enough about Tavares and Matthew Knies in those areas, they’ve done an extremely good job at all their work in the interior of the ice.” - Craig Berube after his team’s win against the Senators in game 1 of this series on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Ottawa Senators
LW Brady Tkachuk
C Tim Stutzle
RW Claude Giroux
LD Jake Sanderson
RD Artyom Zub
G Linus Ullmark
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Matthew Knies
C Auston Matthews
RW Mitchell Marner
LD Jake McCabe
RD Christopher Tanev
G Anthony Stolarz
Statistical Leaders
Ottawa Senators
Points: T. Stutzle (79)
Goals: B. Tkachuk (29)
Assists: T. Stutzle (55)
GAA: L. Ullmark (2.72)
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: M. Marner (102)
Goals: W. Nylander (45)
Assists: M. Marner (75)
GAA: A. Stolarz (2.14)
Coaches:
Ottawa Senators: Travis Green (1st season)
Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)