Oregon State Beavers vs USC Trojans Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 25, 2021
Venue:  Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon State +11, USC -11; Over/Under:  61.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon State +11, USC -11; Over/Under:  62 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon State +11, USC -11; Over/Under:  62 points

Season Record

Oregon State Beavers:  2-1 (3rd place, Pac-12 North)
USC Trojans:  2-1 (1st place, Pac-12 South)
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Oregon State Beavers vs USC Trojans Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Oregon State Beavers:  won at home on Sep. 18 against the Idaho Vandals 42-0.
USC Trojans:  won on the road on Sep. 18 against the Washington State Cougars 45-14.

Oregon State Beavers Analysis

Oregon State is coming into this game with a 2-1 record overall and is 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their first conference game of the year on the schedule. They lost their season opener against the Purdue Boilermakers but then they followed that up with wins over the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and the Idaho Vandals in their last game. Chance Nolan played well in that game as he completed 14/19 passes for 175 yards and 3 touchdowns and zero interceptions. B.J. Baylor led the team in rushing with 69 yards and 2 touchdowns on 11 carries while Trey Lowe was right behind him with 68 yards rushing on 9 carries. The receiving corps had a quiet day as Luke Musgrave led the team in receiving with 40 yards on 3 receptions. Kyrei Fisher led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones along with 1 sack. Riley Sharp had the only other sack for his team in that game while Omar Speights and Skyler Thomas both came away with 1 interception each. They have scored 108 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 57 points against them. Their offense is averaging 453 YPG while their defense is allowing 349 YPG.

USC Trojans Analysis

USC is coming into this college football game with a 2-1 record overall and they are also 1-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 1-1 in their conference games this season and will now be playing their 3rd. Their 1 loss came against the Stanford Cardinal but their wins came against the San Jose State Spartans in their season opener and the Washington State Cougars in their last game. Jaxson Dart filled in for the injured Kedon Slovis in that game and he played well completing 30/46 passes for 391 yards and 4 touchdowns but he also struggled at times as he threw 2 interceptions in that game as well. They did not have much of a run game in that one as Dart led the team in rushing with 32 yards on 6 carries. Drake London had a massive day for the receiving corps as he led the team with 170 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 13 receptions. Xavion Alford led the defense with 6 solo tackles and Calen Bullock had 4 solo tackles and the only interception for his team in the game. Drake Jackson, Kana'i Mauga, and Jaylin Smith all had 1 sack each in that game. They have scored 103 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 63 points against them. Their offense is averaging 423.7 YPG while the Trojans defense is allowing 343.3 YPG.


Oregon State vs USC Prediction

Both of these teams have been scoring a lot of points with their offense. USC was not happy about losing to Stanford in week 2 as they have fired their coach as a result of that. They will be looking to take out their anger on every team for the rest of the season and with all conference matchups left, they will not be taking any games lightly now. Oregon State will be able to keep up only for so long though before USC starts to pull away. Their defense is better than Oregon State's and they will be able to stop their offense more. USC will pull away more as this game goes on so the best bet here is on USC to cover the spread.
Oregon State USC Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 25, 2021 (10:30 pm ET start time) is USC 42 Oregon State 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Oregon State Beavers: 38-20 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 12-4 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
USC Trojans: 50-57 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 111-127 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Key Injuries

Oregon State Beavers:  T. Gebbia (QB) Ques Sat - Hamstring injury. S. Lolohea (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
USC Trojans:  J. Dart (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. D. London (WR) Prob Sat - Head injury. K. Slovis (QB) Ques Sat - Neck injury.

Players to Watch

Oregon State Beavers: B.J. Baylor is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is a big part of this offense so look for him to get involved here.
USC Trojans: Wide receiver Drake London is one player to watch in this game. He is coming off of a massive game where he had over 150 yards receiving. Look for him to carry that over into this game and go off again as his team looks for another conference win.

Notable Quotes

“People call it aggressive, but it’s strategic when we’re doing it. It’s not like I’m shooting from the hip. The type of game we’re in, the play we’ve think we got, the down and distance, the look. There’s a lot that goes into it.” - Jonathan Smith on how often he goes for it with his offense on 4th down.
"I'm super fortunate to be around a group of guys and coaches who show a ton of resiliency and confidence in one another. And like coach said, our main goal, and we're going to face some adversity, but we have to go 1-0, and win that moment." - Jaxson Dart about taking over for an injured Kedon Slovis in their game against WSU.

Starting Lineups

Oregon State Beavers
WR Beason, Zeriah 
WR Bradford, Trevon 
WR Lindsey, Tyjon 
TE Quitoriano, Teagan 
TE Musgrave, Luke 
QB Nolan, Chance 
RB Baylor, B.J. 
USC Trojans
WR London, Drake 
WR Washington, Tahj 
WR Epps, Malcolm 
WR Bryant Jr., Gary  
TE Krommenhoek, Erik 
QB Slovis, Kedon 
RB Malepeai, Vavae 

Statistical Leaders

Oregon State Beavers
Passing: C. Nolan (634)
Rushing: B. Baylor (264)
Receiving: T. Bradford (171)
Touchdowns: B. Baylor (7)
Sacks: A. Hughes-Murray (2)
Tackles: O. Speights (14)
USC Trojans
Passing: K. Slovis (487)
Rushing: V. Malepeai (168)
Receiving: D. London (375)
Touchdowns: D. London (3)
Sacks: D. Jackson (1)
Tackles: C. Bullock (9)
Oregon State Beavers: Jonathan Smith (4th season)
USC Trojans: Donte Williams (Interim)

Weather Forecast

69 degrees F sunny, 59% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds NE.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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