Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/16/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024

Venue:  Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI 

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon -14, Wisconsin +14; Over/Under:  52 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon -14, Wisconsin +14; Over/Under:  52 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon -14, Wisconsin +14; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Oregon Ducks:  10-0 (7-0) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Wisconsin Badgers:  5-4 (3-3) (8th place, Big Ten)

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Oregon Ducks:  won their last game at home against the Maryland Terrapins 39-18.

Wisconsin Badgers:  lost their last game on the road against the Iowa Hawkeyes 42-10.

Oregon is entering this game with a 10-0 record overall and they have a 7-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Maryland 39-18. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 183 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Noah Whittington led the team in rushing yards with 77. Evan Stewart led the receivers with 55 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Kobe Savage led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Keyon Ware-Hudson and Jordan Burch each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tysheem Johnson and Jestin Jacobs each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Wisconsin is entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Iowa 42-10. Braedyn Locke was the starting QB and he completed 15/29 passes for 137 passing yards, 1 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Tawee Walker led the team in rushing yards with 52. Vinny Anthony II led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Christian Alliegro led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Christian Alliegro led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked great in their games this season with their 10-0 record overall and their 7-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten with the best record in the nation. They are tied at the top of the conference with Indiana who is also 10-0 overall, but Oregon is also ranked as the best team in the nation and has been for weeks. They are 4-0 in their road games and they are coming off another big win in their last one, beating Maryland by over 20 points. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has looked good in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall, but their 3-3 conference record has them in the middle of the Big Ten. They don't really have a chance to make the playoffs either and they haven't looked great lately. They are coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare for this one, but they are also coming off a 42-10 loss to Iowa in their last one before going into their bye week. Oregon has been great on defense all season and a majority of their wins this year have been by over 20 points. They have struggled to cover some of the larger spreads over 20 points, but this number is low enough for them to cover since they have the defense to keep Wisconsin off the board and their offense will run away to another win by over 20 points. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. 

Oregon Wisconsin Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Oregon 35 Wisconsin 13.

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Oregon Ducks: 23-13 ATS in all lined games. 22-11 ATS as a favorite. 10-2 ATS as a road favorite. 14-5 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 8-4 1H OVER as a road favorite. 6-1 1H OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 13-7 1H OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game.

Wisconsin Badgers: 3-6 ATS as an underdog. 1-5 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. 2-8 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 5-0 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-0 OVER after a loss by 17 or more points. 8-3 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more.

Oregon Ducks:  J. James (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Harper (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Johnson (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. K. Terrell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Kasper (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Gardner (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bedford (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Florence (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Bryant (WR) Questionable - Leg.

Wisconsin Badgers:  C. LaCrue (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Dalloul (OLB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Mellusi (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Brown (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Booker (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Nelson (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Latu (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Henry (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Seagreaves (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Green (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Van Dyke (QB) Out - Leg. J. Griffin (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Thompson (DL) Out - Upper Body.

“We didn't play as well as we could, there's not doubt about that. I don't think our guys had a lack of prep. But we didn't play as well as we can. I'd say every game this year I've felt like we've grown. This one, we've got some growing moments, so we're going to learn from it.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against Maryland in their last game.

“He's the one that has all the yards. But I think it's got to fall on the shoulders of that offensive line. I’m not sure there weren’t some pretty good seams and holes in there that he had an opportunity to take advantage of.” - Luke Fickell after his team’s loss against Iowa in their last game. 

WR Lowe, Justius

WR Stewart, Evan

WR Johnson, Tez

TE Herbert, Patrick 

QB Gabriel, Dillon

RB James, Jordan

WR Green, Bryson

WR Anthony II, Vinny 

WR Pauling, Will 

TE Nowakowski, Riley

QB Locke, Braedyn

RB Walker, Tawee 

Passing: D. Gabriel (2848)

Rushing: J. James (946)

Receiving: T. Johnson (649)

Touchdowns: J. James (10)

Passing: B. Locke (1418)

Rushing: T. Walker (676)

Receiving: V. Anthony (443)

Touchdowns: T. Walker (10)

Coaches:

Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (3rd season)

Wisconsin Badgers: Luke Fickell (3rd season)