by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 27, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, December 1, 2023
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Oregon -9.5, Washington +9.5; Over/Under: 67 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Oregon -9.5, Washington +9.5; Over/Under: 67 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Oregon -9.5, Washington +9.5; Over/Under: 66.5 points
Season Record
Oregon Ducks: 11-1 (8-1) (2nd place, Pac-12)
Washington Huskies: 12-0 (9-0) (1st place, Pac-12)
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Recent Form
Oregon Ducks: won their last game at home against the Oregon State Beavers 31-7.
Washington Huskies: won their last game at home against the Washington State Cougars 24-21.
Oregon Ducks vs Washington Huskies Preview and Analysis
Oregon is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have an 8-1 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Oregon State 31-7. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 33/40 passes for 367 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan James led the team in rushing yards with 43 and 1 TD. Tez Johnson led the receivers with 137 receiving yards on 11 receptions. Evan Williams led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Matayo Uiagalelei led the defense in sacks with 1. Dontae Manning came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Washington is entering this game with a 12-0 record overall and they have a 9-0 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Wazzu 24-21. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 18/33 passes for 204 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Dillon Johnson led the team in rushing yards with 82 and 1 TD. Rome Odunze led the receivers with 120 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Carson Bruener led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Edefuan Ulofoshio, Bralen Trice, Alphonzo Tuputala, Sekai Afoa-Asoau, and Lance Holtzclaw each led the defense in sacks with 1. Makell Esteen and Thaddeus Dixon each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Oregon vs Washington Prediction
The current betting odds have Washington listed as a 9.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the Pac-12 Championship between Washington and Oregon with this game being played at a neutral site in Las Vegas. Washington has looked great all season with their 12-0 record overall and their 9-0 conference record. They have looked shaky in a few of their wins but they keep grinding out the wins and are now the only undefeated team left in the Pac-12 and they are also ranked 4th in the nation so there is a lot on the line for them with the college football playoff. Oregon has also looked really good in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-1 conference record, their only loss this season coming on the road against Washington 36-33. They have looked like the much better team since that game though as they have been blowing out every team they run into with the only thing on their minds being getting back to this rematch and taking the CFP spot for themselves. Oregon has definitely looked like the better team with the way their defense plays and how the Washington offense has looked shaky at times, but this is still too many points considering how they did lose to Washington this year and Washington is still undefeated after a really tough schedule. The best way to place a bet here is on Washington to cover the spread in what will be another close game here.
Oregon Washington Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 1, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 34 Washington 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Oregon Ducks: 9-2 ATS in all games. 21-10 ATS as a favorite. 12-4 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 20-8 OVER after allowing 9 points or less last game. 35-25 OVER off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals.
Washington Huskies: 9-16 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70. 9-17 ATS against conference opponents. 10-18 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. 23-16 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 14-6 OVER after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
Key Injuries
Oregon Ducks: G. Bryant Jr. (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. A. Boyle (K) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Whittington (RB) out for season - Foot. J. Delgado (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Washington Huskies: G. Jackson (WR) out for season - Redshirt. G. Memmelaar (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. C. Davis (RB) out for season - Lower Body.
Notable Quotes
“That’s really what it’s been about, it’s been about each day, it’s been about each moment. It’s doing to be the same tomorrow. It’s not going to be about Washington, either, it’s got to be about the Ducks and what we’re going to do tomorrow to be better.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against Oregon State in their last game.
“I think way back there’s been some risky plays, but I’d say it’s certainly up there given the moment, given the situation, given the field location, the time of game, all those thing.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s win against WSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Oregon Ducks
WR Franklin, Troy
WR Bryant Jr., Gary
WR Johnson, Tez
TE Ferguson, Terrance
QB Nix, Bo
RB Irving, Bucky
Washington Huskies
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Polk, Ja'Lynn
WR McMillan, Jalen
TE Culp, Devin
QB Penix Jr., Michael
RB Johnson, Dillon
Statistical Leaders
Oregon Ducks
Passing: B. Nix (3906)
Rushing: M. Irving (1043)
Receiving: T. Franklin (1349)
Touchdowns: T. Franklin (14)
Washington Huskies
Passing: M. Penix Jr. (3899)
Rushing: D. Johnson (961)
Receiving: R. Odunze (1326)
Touchdowns: R. Odunze (14)
Coaches:
Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (2nd season)
Washington Huskies: Kalen DeBoer (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
