by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 15, 2021
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Oregon +3, Utah -3; Over/Under: 59 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Oregon +3, Utah -3; Over/Under: 59 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Oregon +3, Utah -3; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Season Record
Oregon Ducks: 9-1 (1st place, Pac-12 North)
Utah Utes: 7-3 (1st place, Pac-12 South)
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Oregon Ducks vs Utah Utes Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Oregon Ducks: won at home on Nov. 13 against the Washington State Cougars 38-24.
Utah Utes: won on the road on Nov. 13 against the Arizona Wildcats 38-29.
Oregon Ducks Analysis
Oregon is coming into this game with a 9-1 record overall and they are 3-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 6-1 in their conference games this season. They only have 1 loss all season and have won 5 straight games since then, coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Anthony Brown was alright in their last game as he completed 17/22 passes for 135 yards and 1 touchdown. Brown also led the team in rushing with 123 yards and 1 touchdown on 17 carries while Byron Cardwell had 98 yards and 2 touchdowns on 9 carries. Travis Dye actually led the team in carries with 18 for 88 yards and 1 TD. Johnny Johnson led the receivers with 43 yards on 3 receptions while Dye caught the other touchdown pass in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Kayvon Thibodeaux led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles. He also led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while Verone McKinley III came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 353 points in their 10 games this season averaging 35.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 226 points against them allowing 22.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 397.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 330.6 YPG.
Utah Utes Analysis
Utah is coming into this game with a 7-3 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 6-1 in their conference games this season. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Cameron Rising played well in their last game as he completed 19/30 passes for 294 yards and 2 touchdowns. TJ Pledger had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 119 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries while Rising also ran in 1 TD himself. Micah Bernard led the receivers with 60 yards on 3 receptions while Brant Kuithe and Dalton Kincaid both caught the touchdown passes in that one with 1 each. Junior Tafuna led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. He along with Cole Bishop and Mika Tafua all recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 357 points in their 10 games this season averaging 35.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 238 points against them allowing 23.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 438.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 346.2 YPG.
Oregon vs Utah Prediction
Utah is coming into this game as a 3 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Utah has been playing very well in their conference games this season with most of their wins coming by double digits. Oregon has also been playing well but they have played some weaker teams in their last 3 games, prior to that they were struggling to get by some of their conference opponents like in their game against UCLA. Utah has a real chance for the title and they will be looking to put a damper on Oregon's college football playoff hopes as they currently sit in a spot ranked that high in the nation. Utah will be ready for this game and will be looking to knock Oregon down a few pegs. The best bet to place in this game is on Utah to cover the spread here.
Oregon Utah Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Utah 42 Oregon 34.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Oregon Ducks: 158-133 O/U in all games. 44-30 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 109-99 O/U against conference opponents. 107-100 O/U after playing a conference game.
Utah Utes: 38-31 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 191-156 ATS in all games. 123-117 ATS as a favorite. 75-61 ATS as a home favorite. 88-74 ATS in home games. 127-113 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Oregon Ducks: J. Johnson III (WR) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. S. Stephens IV (S) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. R. Walk (OL) Early Dec - Leg injury.
Utah Utes: J. Kump (OL) Ques Sat - Leg injury. T. Thomas (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Markgraf (LS) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
“Every game is a playoff game. Us having this target on our backs, it makes every team want to play their best.” - Kayvon Thibodeaux on their mentality coming into every game.”
"It's not about how pretty it looks. It's not about having glitz and glamour, it's about getting the job done and that's what we did here today." - Cameron Rising on their win against Arizona in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Oregon Ducks
WR Johnson III, Johnny
WR Hutson, Kris
WR Pittman, Mycah
TE Ferguson, Terrance
TE Matavao, Moliki
QB Brown, Anthony
RB Dye, Travis
Utah Utes
WR Vele, Devaughn
WR Solomon Enis
WR Covey, Britain
TE Fotheringham, Cole
TE Brant Kuithe
QB Rising, Cameron
RB Thomas, Tavion
FB Niumatalolo, Ali'i
Statistical Leaders
Oregon Ducks
Passing: A. Brown (2039)
Rushing: T. Dye (908)
Receiving: D. Williams (349)
Touchdowns: T. Dye (12)
Utah Utes
Passing: C. Rising (1752)
Rushing: T. Thomas (742)
Receiving: B. Kuithe (369)
Touchdowns: T. Thomas (14)
Coaches:
Oregon Ducks: Mario Cristobal (5th season)
Utah Utes: Kyle Whittingham (18th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
