by Chuck Sommers
Friday, Nov 25, 2022
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Where to watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Oregon -3
FanDuel: Oregon -3.5
BetMGM: Oregon -3
Caesars: Oregon -3
Season record
No. 9 Oregon: 9-2
No. 21 Oregon State: 8-3
The college football fun never stops and we're inching closer to conference championship season. A lot of big games are still to be determined in who will play whom and where, and our top-notch handicappers have been at the forefront for the last month or so providing you with the winners you need to head into December with some confidence in your pocket. How can you be so sure? Of course you have to look at the likes of Kyle Hunter going 19-6-0 over the last 30 days, as well as Will Rogers at 22-13-0 over the last month. What about Vegas Writer? He's sitting at 14-7-1 over the last 30 days since joining our team of champion handicappers that has been killing it everywhere this year. You see the success rate. You need to be on board to join our guys who can get you where you need to go for the homestretch of the college football season. Make sure you're keeping tabs here at bigal.com to find out what our champion handicappers are thinking in all sports!
Oregon - Oregon State preview, analysis and prediction
Last week
Oregon: won 20-17 vs. No. 10 Utah
Oregon State: won 31-7 at Arizona State
The stage is set and the task is clear for the Oregon ducks. When, and you're off to Las Vegas to play for a conference championship. Lose, and you better start praying that Washington somehow loses to Washington state. Because despite all the madness that has been caused over the last couple of weeks, Oregon has a chance to go to the PAC 12 championship game and all they have to do is beat the best Oregon State Beavers team we have seen in recent memory.
The stage is set and the task is clear for the Oregon ducks. When, and you're off to Las Vegas to play for a conference championship. Lose, and you better start praying that Washington somehow loses to Washington state. Because despite all the madness that has been caused over the last couple of weeks, Oregon has a chance to go to the PAC 12 championship game and all they have to do is beat the best Oregon State Beavers team we have seen in recent memory.
Let's go back a couple of weeks ago to Oregon losing to Washington at home. That was supposed to be the final nail in the coffin it seemed like. The Utah Utes had an inside track to go back to the conference title game and to play for the championship that it won last year. Oregon, somehow, gave Utah the biggest fit of its life by winning 20-17 last week at home. Oregon intercepted Utah quarterback Cameron Rising three times, while Bo Nix threw for 287 yards and a touchdown to have Oregon hold on for the victory.
If you are looking for the best-case scenario for Oregon after they lost Washington, this was it. This was the game that they absolutely needed to win in order to ensure that a PAC 12 championship game is still within reach. And quite arguably, given everything that has happened this year up to this point, Oregon secured itself its biggest win of the year. It's not even a question. The way Oregon had played, and even the way you taught played, leading up to this week, these were the two most even teams in the PAC 12. And the fact that Oregon one in the way that it did, with defense, is probably the most impressive thing of this whole situation.
But in all actuality, while this was good for Oregon and its chances to get to the conference title game in Las Vegas, this week will not be the easiest week of Oregon season. This is going to be a game that will be likely the most difficult game in terms of pressure and all-around importance this weekend. And if it wasn't for the fact that I actually enjoyed Oregon State this year and thought that the Beavers were really dangerous, it would be a different story. But Oregon State has been doing this all year long period it has been winning games that it shouldn't have, it has gotten off to great starts that it shouldn't have, it is been showing its dominance all year long.
It's not the flashiest offense in the world, but Oregon State has gotten by with its defense and timely scoring. That is a combination that can get you anywhere this year. It's a combination that can get you to a nice bowl game which Oregon State will be in win or lose. And it's not a situation where I think it will knock Oregon State out of the top 25 either. This is the team that is absolutely earned its ranking this year by staying consistent on both sides of the ball.
But when all else fails I look at how this weekend could go on many fronts. And if it weren't for the fact that organ was still fighting for a conference championship spot I might consider Oregon State in the upset. But I in good conscience cannot take that.
Prediction
Oregon has the second-best quarterback in the conference and, overall, the second-best team in the conference. It's only fitting that we should get this matchup next week in Las Vegas in what might be the best quarterback battle we're gonna get all season long. And I'll tell you what, I am absolutely looking forward to the ridiculousness that might ensue. Oregon by 10
Betting trends
Oregon is 51-26 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
Oregon is 8-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Oregon State is 11-0 ATS at home the last two seasons.
Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Oregon - Oregon State prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily college football projections and previews.
Chuck Sommers
About the Author:
Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.
