Game Time: 9:15 pm ET, Wednesday, December 29, 2021
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Oregon +4.5, Oklahoma -4.5; Over/Under: 61 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Oregon +4.5, Oklahoma -4.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Oregon +4.5, Oklahoma -4.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
Oregon Ducks: 10-3 (1st place, Pac-12 North)
Oklahoma Sooners: 10-2 (3rd place, Big 12)
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Oregon Ducks vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis
Oregon Ducks: lost on a neutral site on Dec. 3 against the Utah Utes 38-10.
Oklahoma Sooners: lost on the road on Nov. 27 against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 37-33.
Oregon Ducks Analysis
Oregon is coming into this game after finishing the season with a 10-3 record overall and they are 0-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in the Pac-12 title game in their last one. Their last win was against the Oregon State Beavers while their 2 losses both came against the Utah Utes, once in the regular season and once in the title game in their last one played. Anthony Brown completed 13/24 passes for 147 yards and 2 interceptions. Travis Dye led the team in rushing with 82 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries. Isaah Crocker led the receivers with 51 yards on 3 receptions while Dye led the team in receptions with 4 for 27 yards. Noah Sewell led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Kayvon Thibodeaux recorded the only sack in that game for them while Sewell and Verone McKinley III both came up with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 408 points in their 13 games this season averaging 31.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 331 points against them allowing 25.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 418 YPG while their defense is allowing 370.5 YPG.
Oklahoma Sooners Analysis
Oklahoma is coming into this game with a 10-2 record overall and they are 1-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Iowa State Cyclones while their 2 losses came against the Baylor Bears and the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game. Caleb Williams completed 20/39 passes for 252 yards and 3 touchdowns in that one. Kennedy Brooks had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 139 yards on 22 carries. Jeremiah Hall led the receivers with 76 yards on 4 receptions while Austin Stogner was right behind with 61 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions. Brayden Willis and Brian Darby both caught the other 2 touchdown passes with 1 each. Brian Asamoah II led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Nik Bonitto recorded the only sack in that game for them while Woodi Washington came up with the only 2 interceptions in that one. They have scored 461 points in their 12 games this season averaging 38.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 303 points against them allowing 25.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 442.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 382 YPG.
Oregon vs Oklahoma Prediction
Oregon is coming into this Alamo Bowl as a 4.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams had very similar seasons this year, both were good teams but were stopped just short of their goals and this is definitely not the bowl game that either team wanted to play in. The players on both sides are not going to play this game with a lot of heart as both teams were hoping to win their conference title and go to the college football playoffs and neither were able to do so. Both of these teams also have coaches that have already quit for a job at another program and that has to be a smack in the face for both. Neither team really has the motivation to get up for this game but Oregon will be more likely to as they were embarrassed in their title game by a team that beat them by almost the exact same score 2 weeks prior. They will be looking to bounce back so the best bet to place in this game is on Oregon to cover the spread here.
Oregon Oklahoma Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, December 29, 2021 (9:15 pm ET start time) is Oregon 31 Oklahoma 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Oregon Ducks: 23-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 60-45 ATS as an underdog. 31-16 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest. 35-22 ATS after a bye week. 5-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Oklahoma Sooners: 3-10 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 3-6 ATS off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. 11-16 ATS after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more. 3-8 O/U in minor bowl games (played in December). 18-29 O/U as a neutral field favorite.
Oregon Ducks: R. Walk (OL) Late Dec - Leg injury. S. Stephens IV (S) Ques Dec 29 - Lower Body injury. J. Redd (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Oklahoma Sooners: T. Wease (WR) Ques Dec 29 - Leg injury. D. Stoops (WR) Ques Dec 29 - Undisclosed injury. J. Criddell (DB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
"Honestly, it seemed kind of similar. It's tough because we felt prepared. We felt we had a good game plan and then to let what happened happen again was a tough pill to swallow." - Verone McKinley III on their loss to Utah in the Pac-12 Championship game.
"I think for everybody, what this does is it makes you appreciate it. What this program's been able to do here over the last seven years is pretty amazing, and it makes you appreciate how hard winning is, how hard winning championships are, how hard winning against good football teams on the road — how hard that is." - Lincoln Riley after Oklahoma lost against Oklahoma State in their last game of the regular season.
WR Williams, Devon
WR Franklin, Troy
WR Hutson, Kris
TE Ferguson, Terrance
TE Matavao, Moliki
QB Brown, Anthony
RB Dye, Travis
WR West, Trevon
WR Woods II, Michael
WR Mims, Marvin
HB Hall, Jeremiah
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Brooks, Kennedy
Passing: A. Brown (2692)
Rushing: T. Dye (1118)
Receiving: D. Williams (557)
Touchdowns: T. Dye (17)
Passing: C. Williams (1674)
Rushing: K. Brooks (1107)
Receiving: M. Mims (648)
Touchdowns: K. Brooks (10)
Oregon Ducks: Bryan McClendon (Interim)
Oklahoma Sooners: Bob Stoops (Interim)