Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/09/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, January 9, 2026

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon +4, Indiana -4; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon +4, Indiana -4; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon +4, Indiana -4; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Oregon Ducks:  13-1 (8-1) (3rd place, Big Ten)

Indiana Hoosiers:  14-0 (9-0) (1st place, Big Ten)

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Oregon Ducks:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 23-0.

Indiana Hoosiers:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Alabama Crimson Tide 38-3.

Oregon is entering this game with a 13-1 record overall and they have an 8-1 record in their conference games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, and they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Texas Tech 23-0. Dante Moore was the starting QB and he completed 26/33 passes for 234 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jordon Davison led the team in rushing yards with 42 and 2 TDs. Jamari Johnson led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Dillon Thieneman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Teitum Tuioti led the defense in sacks with 2. Brandon Finney Jr. came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.

 

 

 

Indiana is entering this game with a 14-0 record overall and they have a 9-0 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Alabama 38-3. Fernando Mendoza was the starting QB and he completed 14/16 passes for 192 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kaelon Black led the team in rushing yards with 99 and 1 TD. Charlie Becker led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Devan Boykin led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Devan Boykin, Aiden Fisher, and Mikail Kamara each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Indiana listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Indiana has looked great in their games this season with their 14-0 record overall and their 9-0 conference record which had them right at the top of the Big Ten. They are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this year and will be playing in the Peach Bowl in this game. Meanwhile, Oregon has looked great in their games this season with their 13-1 record overall and their 8-1 conference record which had them right near the top of the Big Ten. They are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season. Oregon has looked great in the playoffs with an easier win at home against Kames Madison to start, but now they are off a 23-0 win over Texas Tech in their last one. Texas Tech was the higher seed and had a great offense in the Big 12, but Oregon was able to shut them out completely with their defense. Their defense hasn't looked that great at times though, and Indiana has already seen this defense too. Indiana has been rolling this year, winning the Big Ten Championship with a win over Ohio State and coming off a 38-3 win over Alabama in the last round. They haven't played in many close games this season with the way they have been rolling over opponents all year, and Indiana has already beaten Oregon too. Indiana won on the road at Oregon 30-20 earlier this season and Indiana has only gotten better as the year has gone on. As good as Oregon looked against Texas Tech, this is going to be a big step up in talent for them with Indiana looking like the clear best team in the nation by far. The best way to place a bet here is on Indiana to cover the spread in this game. 

Oregon Indiana Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, January 9, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Indiana 34 Oregon 17.

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Oregon Ducks: 27-14 ATS in all lined games. 14-7 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 10-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 15-8 UNDER after a win by 17 or more points. 

Indiana Hoosiers: 1-5 ATS as a neutral field favorite. 4-8 ATS in games played on a neutral field. 44-62 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 3-0 UNDER in games played on a neutral field. 

Oregon Ducks:  G. Wilson (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Stewart (WR) Questionable - Knee. K. Lopa (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Riggs (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Lowe (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Kasper (WR) Out - Undisclosed. M. Hughes (RB) Out - Redshirt. B. Boulton (OG) Out - Undisclosed.

Indiana Hoosiers:  B. Franke (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Daley (DL) Out - Leg. K. Wyatt (DL) Out - Undisclosed. B. Bonds (CB) Out - Undisclosed. L. Beebe Jr. (RB) Out - Leg.

“They’ve earned this opportunity. I told them go get their pound of flesh today. They did that today.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl.

"Why should [the moment] be too big, because our name's Indiana? We've got a lot of veteran starters that played a lot of successful football in their careers. They have high character. We've got great leadership and character on this football team. We've come through in the clutch moments. I'm proud of the way they responded and prepared and met this challenge. It's a great win." - Curt Cignetti after his team’s win against Alabama in the Rose Bowl.

WR Moore, Dakorien

WR Benson, Malik

WR Bryant Jr., Gary

TE Sadiq, Kenyon

QB Moore, Dante

RB Whittington, Noah

WR Sarratt, Elijah

WR Williams Jr., E.J.

WR Cooper Jr., Omar

TE Nowakowski, Riley

QB Mendoza, Fernando

RB Hemby, Roman

Passing: Dante Moore (3,280)

Rushing: Noah Whittington (829)

Receiving: Malik Benson (696)

Touchdowns: Jordon Davison (15)

Passing: Fernando Mendoza (3,172)

Rushing: Roman Hemby (1,007)

Receiving: Omar Cooper Jr. (849)

Touchdowns: Omar Cooper Jr. (13)

Coaches:

Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (4th season)

Indiana Hoosiers: Curt Cignetti (2nd season)