Oregon Ducks vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/18/2023

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023

Venue:  Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon -23.5, ASU +23.5; Over/Under:  54 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon -23, ASU +23; Over/Under:  54.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon -23.5, ASU +23.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Oregon Ducks:  9-1 (6-1) (2nd place, Pac-12)

Arizona State Sun Devils:  3-7 (2-5) (9th place, Pac-12)

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Oregon Ducks:  won their last game at home against the USC Trojans 36-27.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  won their last game on the road against the UCLA Bruins 17-7.

Oregon is entering this game with a 9-1 record overall and they have a 6-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against USC 36-27. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 23/31 passes for 412 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Mar'Keise Irving led the team in rushing yards with 118 and 1 TD. Troy Franklin led the receivers with 147 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Evan Williams led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Evan Williams, Brandon Dorlus, and Teitum Tuioti each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Arizona State is entering this game with a 3-7 record overall and they have a 2-5 record in their conference games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UCLA 17-7. Trenton Bourguet was the starting QB and he completed 19/34 passes for 149 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Cameron Skattebo led the team in rushing yards with 61 and 1 TD. Elijhah Badger led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 1 TD. Dashaun Mallory led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Tate Romney and Clayton Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 23.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked really good this season with their 9-1 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them ranked 6th in the country right now. Their only loss this year was on the road against Washington, the only undefeated team left in the Pac-12 this season, but Oregon has only looked better and better in every game they have played since that loss. Arizona State has also looked a lot better in their games lately with a big road win against UCLA just last week but they are still only 3-7 overall and just 2-5 in their conference games this year. Arizona State will have the home advantage here but Oregon has looked just as good in their road games as they have looked at home and their defense is going to cause a lot of problems for this ASU offense that has already been struggling to put up a lot of points in their games lately. ASU doesn't have the offense to put up a fight in this game even being at home and their defense won't be able to stop Oregon's offense either. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. 

Oregon Arizona State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 45 ASU 10.

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Oregon Ducks: 19-10 ATS as a favorite. 11-4 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-1 ATS after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. 13-7 UNDER as a road favorite of 14.5 or more points. 13-6 UNDER after gaining 375 or more passing yards in the last game. 27-18 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite.

Arizona State Sun Devils: 16-24 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 8-15 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. 4-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 9-4 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 11-6 UNDER in home games. 

Oregon Ducks:  A. Boyle (K) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Whittington (RB) out for season - Foot. J. Delgado (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  D. Brooks (RB) Ques Sat - Hamstring. P. Dorbah (DL) Ques Sat - Arm. B. Walden (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. X. Guillory (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. M. Warren (DB) Late Nov - Shoulder. J. Rashada (QB) Late Nov - Leg. D. Pyne (QB) Out indefinitely - Leg. G. Hart III (RB) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Iheanachor (OL) Out indefinitely - Leg. K. Bourda (DL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. E. Bohle (OL) out for season - Leg. X. Alford (DB) out for season - Eligibility. J. Smith (WR) out for season - Eligibility.

“We knew they were dangerous and had the ability to come back, so I don’t thing anybody felt relaxed. Disappointed a little bit with our finish, because I think we’re a much better team than we showed down the stretch.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against USC in their last game. 

“I was trying to put our players in the best position to win. Point blank. Did we really want to play 70 snaps for these guys just to try to kill our quarterback? And the answer was no, we did not.” - Kenny Dillingham after his team’s win against UCLA in their last game. 

WR Franklin, Troy 

WR Bryant Jr., Gary 

WR Johnson, Tez 

TE Ferguson, Terrance 

QB Nix, Bo 

RB Irving, Bucky

WR Badger, Elijhah 

WR Omeire, Troy 

WR Sanders, Giovanni  

TE Conyers, Jalin 

QB Bourguet, Trenton  

RB Skattebo, Cameron

Passing: B. Nix (3135)

Rushing: M. Irving (939)

Receiving: T. Franklin (1093)

Touchdowns: T. Franklin (11)

Passing: T. Bourguet (1344)

Rushing: C. Skattebo (631)

Receiving: E. Badger (649)

Touchdowns: C. Skattebo (9)

Coaches:

Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (2nd season)

Arizona State Sun Devils: Kenny Dillingham (1st season)