Ole Miss vs Tennessee Volunteers Picks Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/16/2021

by James Q

Ole Miss vs Tennessee Volunteers Picks Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/16/2021

Game Time: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 16th, 2021
Venue:  Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee
Capacity: 102,455…. This will be a sell out.  
Where to Watch: SECN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings Sportsbook:  Spread: Ole Miss -2.5; Over/Under:  83 points
Circa:  Spread: Ole Miss -2.5; Over/Under:  82.5 points
VegasInsider:  Spread:  Ole Miss -2.5; Over/Under: 82.5 points

Season Record

Ole Miss: 4-1 
Tennessee: 4-2 

The Ole Miss Rebels and the Tennessee Volunteers will meet in an earth shaking SEC matchup. Both teams have 4 wins… Ole Miss is 4-1.  The winner of this game gets to pole vault in the rankings because the Georgia Bulldogs will be playing Kentucky on the same day.  They both can’t win that game.  The winner of this game will now be equal to the loser of that game. The winner of this game could be equal to Alabama depending.  The winner of this game will move up in the national rankings. The Ole Miss players AND the Tennessee players can put their entire season on this game… because it is riding on it.
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Rebels vs Volunteers Preview and Analysis

Mississippi started the season with a decisive win over Louisville 43-24.  Game 2 brought a blow-out over Austin Peay 54-17.  Game 3 a great big win over Tulane 61-21.  Game 4 was a horrible loss to #5 ranked Alabama (at the time they were higher) 42-21. Game 5 was a super close redemption win over the Arkansas Razorbacks 52-51… again that was 52-51… if you thought the point total couldn’t be 103, you were wrong.  
Tennessee started their season with a big win over Bowling Green 38-6.  Game 2 was a stumble loss to Pittsburgh 41-34.  Game 3 was a blowout win over TN Tech 56-0.  Game 4 was another horrid stumble to Florida 38-14.  Game 5 was a great big win over Missouri 62-24.  Game 6 was an easy win over South Carolina 45-20.  They aren’t the cream of the SEC, but they are a quality team that will give Ole Miss a fight.

Offensive Analysis

Ole Miss is ranked #2 in the FBS.  They have scored 30 touchdowns on 561.6 yards per game… Only Ohio State has accumulated more stats than Ole Miss Stats.  

Tennessee is ranked 18th in the FBS on offense.  They have scored 32 touchdowns on 474 yards per game.  They seem real close, but almost 100 yards per game is a big difference… It means an extra touchdown or 2-3 extra field goals.


Defensive Analysis

Ole Miss desperately needs to step up the defense.  They are ranked 100th in the FBS having given up 22 touchdowns on 430 yards per game… but before you have an “A-Ha” moment, remember… all these negative stats came against Alabama and Arkansas… Arkansas beat Texas…. Ole Miss gave up 51 points to Arkansas but still won.  Tennessee hasn’t played any teams as good as Alabama or Arkansas.

The Tennessee stats on defense seem real good in this matchup… they aren’t.  Tennessee is ranked 47th on defense in the FBS. They have given up 16 touchdowns on 344.8 yards oer game… it sounds good but they allowed Pittsburgh to score 34… Aye there’s the rub… for in that sleep of death what dreams may come? 

Mississippi vs Tennessee Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, October 16th is…  Ole Miss 45 - Tennessee 20

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NCAAF Betting Trends

Ole Miss is 8-4 ATS as the favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Ole Miss is 11-5 when playing with 6 or less days rest, the last 3 seasons.
Tenn is 13-13 ATS when playing on a Saturday, last 3 seasons.
Tenn is 116-116 ATS when playing a conference opponent since 1993.
Tenn is 2-2 ATS in home games this season.

Key Injuries

Tennessee:  LB Juwan Mitchell (shoulder) Out for season * OL Cooper Mays (ankle) upgraded to probable.  * Rb Tiyon Evans (leg) Probable

Ole Miss: Rb Jerrion Ealy (concussion) Quest * Ol Caleb Warren (ankle) Out indefinitely.

Starting Lineups

Ole Miss:  QB Matt Corral, RB Jerrion Ealy, TE Chase Rogers, WR Braylon Sanders, WR Dontario Drummond, WR Jonathan Mingo, LT Nick Broeker, LG Caleb Warren, OC Orlando Umana, RG Ben Brown, RT Jeremy James

Tenn:  QB Hendon Hooker, RB Tiyon Evans, TE Jacob Warren, WR Velus Jones Jr, WR Cedric Tillman, WR Jalin Hyatt, LT Darnell Wright, LG Jerome Carvin, OC Cooper Mays, RG Javontez Spraggins, RT Cade Mays

Statistical Leaders

Passing Yards: Hendon Hooker 1,063
Rushing Yards: Tiyon Evan 486
Receiving Yards: Velus Jones Jr 342
Tackles: 37
Interceptions: Jaylen McCollough 3

Ole Miss: 
Passing Yards: Matt Carrol 1,497
Rushing Yards: Henry Parrish 334
Receiving Yards: Dontario Drummond 460
Tackles: Chance Campbell 38
Interceptions: Keidron Smith 2 


Weather Forecast

Scattered Showers.  66* for the high.  Humidity 68%. Precipitation 60% chance at all times.  Rainy, wet, mud… watch that run game… look for turnovers and takeaways.

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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