by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Wednesday, Nov 17, 2021
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ODU +4, MTSU -4; Over/Under: 50 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ODU +3.5, MTSU -3.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ODU +4.5, MTSU -4.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
Old Dominion Monarchs: 4-6 (3rd place, C-USA East)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 5-5 (6th place, C-USA East)
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Old Dominion Monarchs vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Old Dominion Monarchs: won at home on Nov. 13 against the Florida Atlantic Owls 30-16.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: won at home on Nov. 13 against the Florida International Panthers 50-10.
Old Dominion Monarchs Analysis
ODU is coming into this game with a 4-6 record overall and they are 1-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-3 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Hayden Wolff played alright in that game as he completed 21/33 passes for 289 yards and 1 touchdown. Blake Watson had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 163 yards and 1 touchdown on 23 carries. Ali Jennings led the receivers with 99 yards on 4 receptions while Isiah Paige caught the lone touchdown pass in that one. Tre Hawkins led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Marcus Haynes recorded the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 262 points in their 10 games this season averaging 26.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 280 points against them allowing 28 PPG. Their offense is averaging 384.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 357.9 YPG.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Analysis
MTSU is coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 3-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Nicholas Vattiato played alright in that game as he completed 20/24 passes for 147 yards and 2 touchdown passes. Martell Pettaway led the team in rushing with 95 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 carries while Frank Peasant had 44 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 carries. Jaylin Lane also ran in 1 TD on the ground in that one. Jimmy Marshall led the receivers with 51 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Yusuf Ali caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Reed Blankenship led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Blankenship along with DQ Thomas, Jurriente Davis, and Marley Cook all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Quincy Riley and Blankenship each caught 1 interception for them in that one. They have scored 313 points in their 10 games this season averaging 31.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 269 points against them allowing 26.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 349.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 366.8 YPG.
Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee Prediction
ODU is coming into this game as a 4 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. ODU has been playing very well recently winning 3 games straight coming into this one. MTSU has also been playing well but they have been struggling in the conference more recently, beating up on much lesser teams than them in their recent games. ODU is trying to finish their season out strong and both teams still have a chance to become bowl eligible so both will be trying hard in this game for the win. This should be a closer game because of that so the best bet to place in this game is on ODU to cover the spread and keep this close.
Old Dominion Middle Tennessee Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is MTSU 33 ODU 30.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Old Dominion Monarchs: 39-49 ATS in all games. 24-32 ATS as an underdog. 16-19 ATS as a road underdog. 24-30 ATS against conference opponents.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 132-128 ATS in all games. 24-22 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 38-36 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 69-59 ATS as a favorite. 44-38 ATS as a home favorite. 58-52 ATS in home games. 83-77 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Old Dominion Monarchs: None.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: A. Rasul (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. C. Mobley (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. Chase Cunningham (QB) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"They're learning that some of the stuff I say, while incredibly cliché, for them it's what they really believe in. They believe in 1-0 and earning the right to win and believe that practice ultimately allows you to play better, and they believe that how you do anything affects everything.” - Ricky Rahne on his team’s mentality before a game each week.
"I'm proud of Nick. He's a good player. I love his moxie. I thought he got more confident with each possession. We started him off with some high-percentage completions. We rallied behind him." - Rick Stockstill on Nick Vattiato as the starting quarterback for his team.
Starting Lineups
Old Dominion Monarchs
WR Jennings III, Ali
WR Harvey, Javon
WR Paige, Isiah
TE Zack Kuntz
QB Wolff, Hayden
RB Watson, Blake
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
WR Windham, CJ
WR Lane, Jaylin
WR Jarrin Pierce
TE Jimmy Marshall
QB Vattiato, Nicholas
RB Pettaway, Martell
Statistical Leaders
Old Dominion Monarchs
Passing: H. Wolff (1188)
Rushing: B. Watson (872)
Receiving: A. Jennings III (594)
Touchdowns: D. Mack Jr. (6)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Passing: C. Cunningham (1318)
Rushing: C. Mobley (231)
Receiving: J. Marshall (477)
Touchdowns: J. Marshall (6)
Coaches:
Old Dominion Monarchs: Ricky Rahne (2nd season)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Rick Stockstill (16th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
