Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/18/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 18, 2021
Venue:  Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
Where to Watch:  ESPN3


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Monarchs +27.5, Flames -27.5; Over/Under:  53 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Monarchs +27.5, Flames -27.5; Over/Under:  53 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Monarchs +27, Flames -27; Over/Under:  53 points

Season Record

Old Dominion Monarchs:  1-1 (6th place, C-USA East)
Liberty Flames:  2-0 (3rd place, Independents)
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Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Old Dominion Monarchs:  won 1
Liberty Flames:  won 2

Offensive Analysis

Last season the Old Dominion Monarchs averaged a 54.6% completion percentage, 176.4 passing yards, and 0.4 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 98.6 rushing yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Liberty Flames were averaging a 62.9% completion percentage, 229.5 passing yards, and 2.3 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 252.4 rushing yards and 2.5 touchdowns per game on the ground.

Defensive Analysis

Last season the Old Dominion Monarchs were allowing teams a 63.6% completion percentage, 223.5 passing yards, and 1.7 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 151.3 rushing yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Liberty Flames were allowing teams a 57.5% completion percentage, 186 passing yards, and 1.5 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 133.5 rushing yards and 1.1 touchdowns per game on the ground.


Monarchs vs Flames Prediction

Old Dominion are coming into this matchup with a 1-1 record overall, this will be their 3rd non-conference game in a row. They lost their first game of the college football season against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 42-10 but then went on to win their last game 47-7 over the Hampton Pirates. D.J. Mack Jr. did not have the best game in that one as he completed 11/22 passes for 162 yards and 1 touchdown. The running game had a big day though. Jon-Luke Peaker led the team in rushing with 141 yards on 18 carries while Elijah Davis also had 109 rushing yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. Mack Jr. found the end zone himself 3 times on the ground in that one as well. It was a quiet day for the receiving corps though as Zack Kuntz caught 3 passes for 61 yards leading the team in receiving that day. Jason Henderson led the defense with 3 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. No one had an interception but Amorie Morrison recorded 2 sacks himself in the game while D'Vion Harris also recorded 1. ODU has scored 57 points in 2 games now while allowing their opponents to score 49 against them. Their offense is averaging 424.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 269.5 YPG.

Liberty are coming into this game with a 2-0 record overall and have not played in any conference games on the schedule yet. They won their first college football game of the regular season 48-7 against the Campbell Fighting Camels and went on to win their previous game as well 21-13 against the Troy Trojans. Malik Willis had a solid game in their last as he completed 13/18 passes for 154 yards and 2 touchdowns. The run game did not do too much with Willis leading them in rushing yards with 93 and 1 TD on 20 carries. The receiving corps had a very quiet day as Demario Douglas led the team with 41 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions. Henry Chibueze led Liberty's defense with 4 solo total tackles, 2 assisted ones, and 1 sack. There were 6 different players on this defense who got to the quarterback in that game but Duron Lowe came up with the only interception for them in the game. Liberty has scored 69 points in 2 games while allowing their opponents to score 20 points against them. The Liberty offense is averaging 438.5 YPG while the Liberty defense has been allowing 250.5 YPG against them.

Liberty is the better team here and has been moving the ball really well on offense. They have been scoring points as well and Malik Willis has shown some really good play in his games. ODU has not had trouble moving the ball either. They scored a lot in their last game and should be able to put up some points on this defense as well. A bet on the over in this game seems like a good play as it is likely that both teams find the end zone quite a bit here.

Monarchs Flames Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, Sep 18, 2021 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Flames 42 Monarchs 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers betting insights, free picks, best bets and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Old Dominion Monarchs Liberty Flames prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends

Old Dominion Monarchs: 2-0 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points. 4-2 ATS in road games.
Liberty Flames: 18-7 ATS in all games. 13-4 ATS after playing a non-conference game.

Key Injuries

Old Dominion Monarchs:  None.
Liberty Flames:  J. Kourtis (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Lofton (WR) Ques Sat - Knee injury. M. Haskins (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.

Players to Watch

Old Dominion Monarchs: D.J. Mack Jr. is one player to watch in this game. Not only does he command the offense but he also contributes in the run game as well, currently leading his team in touchdowns scored. If they are to do anything in this game on offense it will be through him so watch for him to make the plays here.
Liberty Flames: Malik Willis is one player to watch here. He has already shown to be a dynamic presence on the field in just 2 games. He leads the team in passing yards and in rushing so watch out for this dual-threat quarterback to make a big impact in this game.

Notable Quotes

“Quite frankly, I hope he never hits it because I hope we score touchdowns. I think he is one of the most accurate kickers that I could possibly, possibly imagine.” - Ricky Rahne on Nick Rice about to break the school record for most field goals made by a single kicker.
"I'm not sure what other quarterback in college football, and it's gotta be a small list in the NFL that can make that play." - Sean McEvoy on a play Malik Willis made on 4th-and-3 against VT.

Starting Lineups

Old Dominion Monarchs
WR Jennings III, Ali 
WR Harvey, Javon 
WR Paige, Isiah 
TE Anthony Jr., Donta 
QB Mack Jr., D.J. 
RB Watson, Blake 
Liberty Flames
WR Shaa, Kevin 
WR Frith, Noah 
WR Stubbs, DJ 
TE Huntley, Johnny 
QB Willis, Malik 
RB Mack, Joshua 

Statistical Leaders (Stats)

Old Dominion Monarchs
Passing: D. Mack Jr. (201)
Rushing: E. Davis (178)
Receiving: Z. Kuntz (80)
Touchdowns: D. Mack Jr. (3)
Sacks: A. Morrison (3)
Tackles: T. Hawkins III (10)
Liberty Flames
Passing: M. Willis (371)
Rushing: M. Willis (148)
Receiving: D. Douglas (125)
Touchdowns: M. Willis (2)
Sacks: S. Jackson (1.5)
Tackles: S. Jackson (7)
Old Dominion Monarchs: Ricky Rahne (2nd season)
Liberty Flames: Hugh Freeze (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

81 degrees F partly cloudy, 75% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 4 mph wind speeds E.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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