by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, Nov 16, 2021
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: OK State -10.5, TT +10.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: OK State -10.5, TT +10.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: OK State -10.5, TT +10.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Season Record
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 9-1 (2nd place, Big 12)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 6-4 (6th place, Big 12)
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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Oklahoma State Cowboys: won at home on Nov. 13 against the TCU Horned Frogs 63-17.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: won at home on Nov. 13 against the Iowa State Cyclones 41-38.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Analysis
Oklahoma State is coming into this game with a 9-1 record overall and they are 6-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 6-1 in their conference games this season. They only have 1 loss all season but they have gone on a 3 game winning streak since then, coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Spencer Sanders played well in that game as he completed 17/25 passes for 235 yards and 1 touchdown. Dominic Richardson had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 134 yards and 2 touchdowns on 12 carries while Jaylen Warren was right behind him with 113 yards and 3 touchdowns on 17 carries. Jaden Nixon also had 3 carries for 69 yards and 1 touchdown while Dezmon Jackson had 68 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 carries. Blaine Green led the receivers with 80 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions while Brennan Presley led the team in receptions with 6 for 61 yards. Devin Harper led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Kamryn Farrar led the defense in sacks in that game with 1.5 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 322 points in their 10 games this season averaging 32.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 164 points against them allowing 16.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 412.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 276.6 YPG.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Analysis
Texas Tech is coming into this game with a 6-4 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 3-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Donovan Smith played well in that game as he completed 25/32 passes for 322 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Tahj Brooks led the team in rushing with 80 yards and 1 touchdown on 9 carries while SaRodorick Thompson also ran in 1 TD on the ground in that one. Myles Price had a nice day as he led the receivers with 175 yards and 1 touchdown on 9 receptions while Erik Ezukanma had 54 yards and 2 touchdowns on 4 receptions. Damarcus Fields led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles. Jaylon Hutchings and Tony Bradford Jr. both combined for the only sack in the game for them while Colin Schooler and Dadrion Taylor each came away with 1 interception for them in that one. They have scored 336 points in their 10 games this season averaging 33.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 335 points against them allowing 33.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 440.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 406.8 YPG.
Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech Prediction
Oklahoma State is coming into this game as a 10.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TT is coming off of a big upset win over ISU in their last game but that is not going to happen for them this week. Oklahoma State is a much better team than ISU is and Oklahoma State has the best defense in the Big 12 by far. Their offense can score a lot of points but they are also allowing less than 300 yards per game by their opponents trying to move the ball on them. Texas Tech does not have a good defense, Oklahoma State is going to score a lot of points on them while their defense keeps Texas Tech from scoring a lot of points. The best bet to place in this game is on Oklahoma State to cover the spread here.
Oklahoma State Texas Tech Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma State 38 Texas Tech 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 25-19 O/U as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 129-114 O/U in all games. 35-29 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 82-61 O/U as a favorite. 94-81 O/U against conference opponents.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 142-117 O/U in all games. 19-12 O/U as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 43-29 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 70-55 O/U as an underdog. 25-20 O/U as a home underdog. 65-53 O/U in home games. 99-84 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Oklahoma State Cowboys: L. Anderson (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Cassity (TE) Ques Sat - Leg injury. L. Brown (RB) Late Nov - Undisclosed injury.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: T. Shough (QB) Ques Sat - Collarbone injury. L. Fouonji (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. E. Carde (OL) out for season - Leg injury.
Notable Quotes
“This team practices really well, and they enjoy each other, which is really important, in my opinion, in college football, particularly in this day and age. They focus in practice and they commit to themselves. And that’s what has to happen. Coaches can’t do it for ‘em. They have to do it for themselves, and they do. They like each other. They have fun at practice.” - Mike Gundy on his team’s morale.
"If you want to do something about it, you gotta dig your heels in and fight out of it. You have to have a mindset that's set on not having the same results." - Sonny Cumbie on changing the culture of the program.
Starting Lineups
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Green, Blaine
WR Rashod Owens
WR Presley, Brennan
WR Martin, Tay
CW Cassity, Braden
QB Sanders, Spencer
RB Warren, Jaylen
Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Geiger Sr., Kaylon
WR Ezukanma, Erik
WR Mannix, McLane
TE Koontz, Travis
QB Colombi, Henry
RB Thompson, SaRodorick
Statistical Leaders
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Passing: S. Sanders (1758)
Rushing: J. Warren (1041)
Receiving: T. Martin (635)
Touchdowns: J. Warren (10)
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: H. Colombi (1291)
Rushing: T. Brooks (420)
Receiving: E. Ezukanma (685)
Touchdowns: S. Thompson (9)
Coaches:
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (17th season)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Sonny Cumbie (Interim)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
