Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns Game Preview and Prediction - 10/16/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 16, 2021
Venue:  DKR Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch:  Fox


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma State +5, Texas -5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma State +5, Texas -5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma State +5.5, Texas -5.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

Season Record

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  5-0 (2nd place, Big 12)
Texas Longhorns:  4-2 (4th place, Big 12)
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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Oklahoma State Cowboys:  won at home on Oct. 2 against the Baylor Bears 24-14.
Texas Longhorns:  lost at home on Oct. 9 against the Oklahoma Sooners 55-48.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Analysis

Oklahoma State is coming into this game with a 5-0 record overall and they are 1-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are already off to a good start with a 2-0 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 wins came against the Kansas State Wildcats and Baylor in their last game. They are coming into this game on a  5 game winning streak this season. They won their last game over Baylor 24-14 in a game that they were in control of from start to finish. Despite their win and dominance in the game, Spencer Sanders really struggled in that one as he completed 13/23 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions. Their ground game had a nice day though as Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing with 125 yards and 2 touchdowns on 36 carries while Sanders also had 76 rushing yards on 12 carries. Davontavean Martin had a nice day as well as he led the receivers with 110 yards on 6 receptions and Rashod Owens had 53 receiving yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions. Collin Oliver led the defense with 5 solo tackles, 1 assisted one and 2 sacks while Demarco Jones also racked up 4 solo tackles. Jarrick Bernard also had a good game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while he and Brendon Evers both combined for 1 sack in that game. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 127 points in their first 5 games averaging 25.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 93 points against them allowing 18.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 378.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 305.2 YPG.

Texas Longhorns Analysis

Texas is coming into this college football game with a 4-2 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup on their schedule and they are off to a pretty good start with a 2-1 record in the conference this season. Their 2 wins came against the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the TCU Horned Frogs while their 1 loss came to Oklahoma in their last game snapping a 3 game winning streak that they were on. They lost to Oklahoma 55-48 in heartbreaking fashion as they were leading by 3 touchdowns for most of the game but then allowed them to make a comeback in the 4th quarter as their offense was stunted on a few drives. Quarterback Casey Thompson played a great game in that one as he completed 20/34 passes for 388 yards and 5 touchdowns. Bijan Robinson also had a great day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 137 yards and 1 touchdown on 20 carries but he was basically their entire running game in that one. Xavier Worthy had a massive day as he led the receivers with 261 yards and 2 touchdowns on 9 receptions while Joshua Moore also got involved with 70 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 4 receptions. Overall, it was a very good day for the offense even though they went on to lose that game. Luke Brockermeyer led the defense with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones while B.J. Foster was right behind him with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones, also having 1 interception in that game. That was the only interception in that game for the defense while DeMarvion Overshown and Alfred Collins both recorded 1 sack each in that one. They have scored 267 points in their first 6 games averaging 44.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 175 points against them allowing 29.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 480.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 441 YPG.


Oklahoma State vs Texas Prediction

Oklahoma State has been scoring over 20 points in each of their games but they will seem to match whatever their opponent puts up on offense. Texas is very strong on offense averaging almost 45 points scored per game this year. This will be a game where both teams keep scoring and drive up the score as they each look to take the lead. If Texas pulls away then Oklahoma State will try to match that with their offense and if Oklahoma State pulls away Texas has a strong enough offense to make a comeback in the game. There is going to be a lot of points scored by both teams in this game so the best bet to place in this one is on the over. 
Oklahoma State Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 16, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 42 Oklahoma State 38.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Oklahoma State Cowboys Texas Longhorns prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends

Oklahoma State Cowboys: 73-80 ATS as an underdog. 37-44 ATS as a road underdog. 71-74 ATS in road games. 44-60 O/U in road games.
Texas Longhorns: 189-172 ATS in all games. 40-34 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 135-128 ATS as a favorite. 76-68 ATS as a home favorite. 88-81 ATS in home games. 127-113 ATS against conference opponents.

Key Injuries

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  D. Jackson (RB) day-to-day - Leg injury. L. Carter (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed injury. L. Brown (RB) Late Oct - Undisclosed injury.
Texas Longhorns:  J. Whittington (WR) Ques Sat - Shoulder injury. R. Thornton (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Jones (LB) Ques Sat - Foot injury.

Players to Watch

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Jaylen Warren is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in receiving yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a big game where he had over 100 receiving yards and he will be looking to continue that into this game. His team is still undefeated so look for him to play at his best here and make some big catches down the field and in the end zone to help his team stay undefeated. 
Texas Longhorns: Bijan Robinson and Xavier Worthy are both players to watch here. Worthy leads his team in receiving while Robinson leads the team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored. Both had massive games, Robinson rushing for over 100 yards and Worthy with over 250 receiving yards in their last game. These two guys make up the entire Texas offense so look for both to make a big impact as they are the deciders for this Texas offense on if they are going to score points or not since they are the playmakers on this team.

Notable Quotes

"Obviously, the defense playing good. I just don't want to jinx them. They just keep playing, good. I hope that they just continue on like that." - Mike Gundy on part of the reason why they won that game against Baylor in their last.
"At the end of the day when these two teams get together, this is kind of the story, right? The ball is going up and down the field. You've got to try to find a way to create turnovers, which we did early. Unfortunately, the one that we had on the kickoff return was a costly one right there in the fourth quarter." - Steve Sarkisian on their loss to Oklahoma in their last game.

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Green, Blaine 
WR Bray, Jaden 
WR Presley, Brennan 
WR Martin, Tay 
CW Cassity, Braden 
QB Sanders, Spencer 
RB Warren, Jaylen 
Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier 
WR Moore, Joshua 
WR Jordan Whittington
TE Brewer, Cade 
QB Thompson, Casey 
RB Robinson, Bijan 

Statistical Leaders

Oklahoma State Cowboys
Passing: S. Sanders (781)
Rushing: J. Warren (512)
Receiving: T. Martin (317)
Touchdowns: J. Warren (6)
Sacks: C. Oliver (2.5)
Tackles: M. Rodriguez (31)
Texas Longhorns
Passing: C. Thompson (1095)
Rushing: B. Robinson (789)
Receiving: X. Worthy (531)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (8)
Sacks: O. Oghoufo (2)
Tackles: D. Overshown (27)
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (17th season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (1st year)

Weather Forecast

73 degrees F mostly sunny, 45% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 13 mph wind speeds N.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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