Oklahoma State Cowboys vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/18/2023

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 18, 2023

Venue:  Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  OK State +5, TCU -5; Over/Under:  139.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  OK State +5, TCU -5; Over/Under:  139.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  OK State +5, TCU -5; Over/Under:  139.5 points

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  16-10 (7-6) (6th place, Big 12)

TCU Horned Frogs:  17-9 (6-7) (7th place, Big 12)

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Oklahoma State Cowboys:  4-1  last 5

TCU Horned Frogs:  1-4  last 5

Oklahoma State is coming into this game with a 16-10 record overall and they are 3-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 7-6 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Kansas Jayhawks in their last game. Kalib Boone led the team in points in that game with 27 while John-Michael Wright was next on the team with 18 points. Bryce Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Moussa Cissé led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50% from the field, 47.1% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 69.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.3 PPG against them. Oklahoma State has an ATS record of 14-12 this season and their O/U record is 12-14.

TCU is coming into this game with a 17-9 record overall and they are 11-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 6-7 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma State Cowboys, the Kansas State Wildcats, the Baylor Bears, and the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Shahada Wells led the team in points in that game with 15 while Micah Peavy was next on the team with 13 points. Damion Baugh led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Shahada Wells led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 46.2% from the field, 26.3% from 3-point range, and 33.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 13-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-12.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU has been having a good season this year as they are 17-9 overall but they have been struggling in their conference games lately as they are 6-7 in the Big 12 this season and have been dealing with some key injuries. They have been in a bad slump now losing 4 games in a row but they have still been a really good home team all year as they are 11-3 in their home games and they are going to be looking for a bounce back win on their home court here. Oklahoma State is 16-10 overall this season and they haven't been that great in the conference either with a 7-6 conference record, but they have been playing a lot better lately winning a lot of games. They have been terrible in their road games though as they are 3-5 in road games this season and they just had all their momentum from their winning streak stopped by a bad loss to Kansas at home in their last game. TCU has a chance to pounce on Oklahoma State here while they are down and they will take advantage of their opportunity on their home court here where they have been great all season. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game.

Oklahoma State TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 18, 2023 (2:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 74 OK State 66.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys: 77-45 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. 15-8 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 24-15 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

TCU Horned Frogs: 18-37 ATS in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5. 23-13 UNDER after 3 consecutive conference games. 82-50 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival.

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  A. Anderson III (G) Out indefinitely - Wrist.

TCU Horned Frogs:  R. Walker (G) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Miles Jr. (G) Out indefinitely - Knee.

"Start off by just thanking our fans. Midweek, holiday, a lot of reasons not to be in the building tonight, but they showed up and gave us a tremendous atmosphere for a Big 12 basketball game. So, I'm very thankful to that. Obviously, disappointed. I didn't think as a team, we necessarily met the moment collectively in a way that would give ourselves the best chance to win tonight. Score 76 (points), we got some good offensive production, but it wasn't with the right kind of flow. A lot of times I feel like we got caught up trying to beat them at their game. They're better than us at that.” - Mike Boynton after his team’s loss against Kansas in their last game. 

“We’ll see how it goes in two more days. It’s their pain tolerance at this point and it’s their call. That’s where it’s at. It’s not like recovery from a shoulder.” - Jamie Dixon on the injuries to Miles and Lampkin coming into this game. 

A. Anderson 

K. Boone 

M. Cisse 

B. Thompson 

J. Wright

D. Baugh 

E. Lampkin 

M. Miles 

E. Miller 

C. O'Bannon

PPG: K. Boone (12.5)

APG: A. Anderson III (3.4)

Reb/G: M. Cisse (8.3)

PPG: M. Miles Jr. (18.1)

APG: D. Baugh (5.7)

Reb/G: E. Miller (6.2)

Coaches:

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Michael Boynton (6th season)

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (7th season)