Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/18/2023

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023

Venue:  TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  OK State -7, Houston +7; Over/Under:  59 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  OK State -7, Houston +7; Over/Under:  59.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  OK State -7, Houston +7; Over/Under:  59.5 points

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  7-3 (5-2) (4th place, Big 12)

Houston Cougars:  4-6 (2-5) (12th place, Big 12)

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Oklahoma State Cowboys:  lost their last game on the road against the Central Florida Knights 45-3.

Houston Cougars:  lost their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bearcats 24-14.

Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against UCF 45-3. Alan Bowman was the starting QB and he completed 19/36 passes for 225 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Ollie Gordon led the team in rushing yards with 25. Rashod Owens led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kendal Daniels led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Kendal Daniels and Collin Oliver each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Houston is entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 2-5 record in their conference games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Cincinnati 24-14. Donovan Smith was the starting QB and he completed 16/28 passes for 102 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Donovan Smith led the team in rushing yards with 88. Joseph Manjack IV led the receivers with 22 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. A.J. Haulcy led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jamaree Caldwell and Anthony Holmes Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Oklahoma State listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma State has looked good this season with their 7-3 record overall and they are also 5-2 in their conference games. Oklahoma State has their eyes set on the Big 12 Championship this year which they do have a chance of making it to, but they have to run the table now after taking a bad loss on the road in UCF. They lost 45-3 in that game which was a bit of a let down after beating Oklahoma the week before but now they will be looking to bounce back from that bad loss and keep their Championship hopes alive. Houston has been terrible this season with their 4-6 record overall and their 2-5 conference record too. They are only 3-3 in their home games too and haven't looked good in their games lately, losing at home to Cincinnati just last week, giving them their 1st conference win in the Big 12 in school history. Houston doesn't have a great team this year and it has shown in their games lately, Oklahoma State will be looking to bounce back now that they are more focused on this game and running the table. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma State to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma State Houston Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is OK State 42 Houston 21.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys: 22-15 ATS in all games. 17-9 ATS against conference opponents. 8-2 ATS off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite. 8-3 UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 15-7 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 9-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

Houston Cougars: 5-15 ATS after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game. 2-6 ATS off 4 or more consecutive unders. 14-7 UNDER off a home loss against a conference rival. 11-5 UNDER after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse.

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  J. Bray (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Shettron (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Wright (LB) out for season - Redshirt. D. Stribling (WR) out for season - Arm.

Houston Cougars:  M. Golden (WR) out for season - Foot. C. Nelson (WR) Out indefinitely - Leg. N. Guzman (DB) out for season - Undisclosed. R. Sanford II (RB) out for season - Undisclosed.

“They outcoached us. They made the plays and we didn't. They did a really good job at coaching. They are good with what they do on offense. And then we couldn't capitalize offensively in certain situations and it snowballed into what ended up happening.” - Mike Gundy after his team’s loss against UCF in their last game. 

“I thought we were ready to go gosh dang coming off a good win (last week over Baylor). It’s just life in the Big 12.” - Dana Holgorsen after his team’s loss against Cincinnati in their last game. 

WR Johnson III, Leon 

WR Owens, Rashod   

WR Presley, Brennan 

TE Johnson, Josiah 

QB Bowman, Alan 

RB Gordon II, Ollie 

FB Cassity, Braden

WR Golden, Matthew 

WR Brown, Samuel 

WR Manjack IV, Joseph 

TE O'Laughlin, Mike 

QB Smith, Donovan 

RB Jenkins, Parker 

Passing: A. Bowman (2139)

Rushing: O. Gordon II (1249)

Receiving: R. Owens (530)

Touchdowns: O. Gordon II (13)

Passing: D. Smith (2404)

Rushing: P. Jenkins (400)

Receiving: S. Brown (776)

Touchdowns: M. Golden (6)

Coaches:

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (19th season)

Houston Cougars: Dana Holgorsen (5th season)